EURJPY maintains a firmer short-term tone and is holding on to its latest gains. The medium-term trend structure is bullish and sights are on 171.56, the Apr 29 high and key resistance. Initial supportlies at the 20-day EMA, at 168.01, and remains intact. Key trendline support drawn from the Dec 7 ‘23 low, is at 166.29. A clear breach of this line would instead highlight a stronger reversal and initially expose support at the 50-day EMA, at 166.04.
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The short-term trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains bearish and the latest recovery appears - for now - to be a correction. Last Friday’s bearish extension reinforced current short-term conditions. The contract has recently cleared 50-day EMA, signalling scope for a continuation lower. Sights are on 4907.57 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Firm resistance is 5153.25, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of the average would signal a possible reversal.