RUSSIA: Transneft-Ukraine Section Of Druzhba Suspended

Nov-23 14:17

Russia's state-run TASS reporting comments from oil network operator Transneft stating that a section of the Druzhba oil pipeline in Ukraine has been suspended, but that the pumping of oil from Belarus to Ukraine is continuing.

  • Confirms that pumping of oil to Hungary is to be suspended 'for at least a week', while the pumping to Czech Republic and Slovakia continues.
  • Comes a day after Ukraine's pipeline operator Ukrtransnafta confirmed that it would increase transit fees next year due to “continued destruction of the Ukrainian energy infrastructure has led to a significant shortage of electricity, an increase in its costs, a shortage of fuel, spare parts,”
Map of Druzhba Pipeline

Source: Kpler, FT Research

Historical bullets

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z2)‌‌ Trend Needle Still Points South

Oct-24 14:08
  • RES 4: 113-23 50-day EMA
  • RES 3: 112-22+ High Oct 6
  • RES 2: 111-28+ High Oct 12 and key near-term resistance
  • RES 1: 110-16+ 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 109-24 @ 15:07 BST Oct 24
  • SUP 1: 108-26+ Low Oct 21
  • SUP 2: 108-06+ Low Oct 2007 (cont)
  • SUP 3: 107.09 3.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 4: 106-20+ Low Aug 2007 (cont)

Despite the recovery from Friday’s low, Treasuries remain in a downtrend. The extension lower last week confirmed a break of support at 110.02, the Oct 13 low and the psychological 110.00 handle. This marks a resumption of the primary downtrend and an extension of the bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. The focus is on 108-20, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance has been defined at 111-28+, high Oct 13.

US TSY OPTIONS: BLOCK, 5Y Put Sale

Oct-24 14:07
  • -10,000 FVZ2 105 puts, 25.5 ref 106-04.75 at 1000:15ET

UK: Sunak-'First Priority Is Economic Stability, Then Can Look @ 2019 Manifesto'

Oct-24 13:54

Wires reporting comments from incoming UK PM Rishi Sunak to Conservative party MPs.

  • According to senior Conservative MP Iain Dunacn Smith, Sunak told lawmakers that the first priority is economic stability, then can look to deliver 2019 manifesto promises.
  • Sunak 'told lawmakers that he would concentrate on policies rather than people', said the party 'only had one shot of getting this right' and called for unity according to ITV
  • The Sun reports that Sunak told MPs that every wing of the party will be in his Cabinet.
  • Blackrock states that it has upgraded gilts from underweight to neutral due to improved perceptions of fiscal credibility.
  • Sunak said to have ruled-out a snap general election. Says that the party faces an 'existential crisis'.
  • Paul Waugh at The i Paper says Sunak said the importance of 'sustainable growth, and need for Net Zero agenda, as well as only delivering tax cuts when the economy/public finances allowed them.'