GOLD TECHS: Trading Above Support

Nov-20 07:27
  • RES 4: $4404.9 - 3.500 proj of the May 15 - Jun 16 - 30 price swing
  • RES 3: $4381.5 - High Oct 20 and bull trigger
  • RES 2: $4264.7 - 76.4% retracement of the Oct 20 - 28 correction 
  • RES 1: $4132.9/4245.2 - High Nov 19 / 13                    
  • PRICE: $4062.1 @ 07:26 GMT Nov 20 
  • SUP 1: $3943.0 - 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 2: $3886.6 - Low Oct 28 and a reversal trigger
  • SUP 3: $3800.00 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: $3760.9 - Low Sep 29 

The bearish phase in Gold between Oct 20 and 28 appears to have been a correction and has allowed a recent overbought condition to unwind. The recovery since Oct 28 suggests that correction is over. Key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA, at $3943.0. Clearance of this EMA would signal scope for a deeper retracement. The first short-term bull trigger has been defined at $4245.23, the Nov 13 high.

Historical bullets

EGB SYNDICATION: 3.25% Jan-34 ESTONI tap: Books open

Oct-21 07:22
  • Guidance MS + 80bps area
  • Tap Size: E500bln (WNG)
  • Settlement: 28 October 2025 (T+5)
  • Joint Leads: Erste Group, J.P. Morgan (B&D) and Societe Generale
  • Timing: Books open, today’s business

From market source
 

FRANCE DATA: Y/Y Real Retail Sales Negative Again In Sept

Oct-21 07:19

 "*FRANCE SEPT. RETAIL SALES VOLUME FALLS 1.2% Y/Y" bbg

  • Y/Y real retail sales have been negative for seven of the nine months this year.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Latest Option Trades

Oct-21 07:13
  • ERH6 98.125/98.25cs vs ERZ5 98.0625/98.1875cs, bought for 2 in 1.5k.
  • ERM6/ERZ5 97.9375p calendar spread, bought for 1.75 in 4k.