SILVER TECHS: Trading Above Support

Nov-07 08:15
  • RES 4: $56.153 2.500 proj of the Aug 20 - Sep 16 - 17 price swing   
  • RES 3: $55.444 2.382 proj of the Aug 20 - Sep 16 - 17 price swing
  • RES 2: $55.000 - Round number resistance
  • RES 1: $49.456/54.480 - High Oct 23 / 17 and the bull trigger   
  • PRICE: $48.713 @ 08:14 GMT Nov 7
  • SUP 1: $46.238/45.557 - 50-day EMA / Low Oct 28  
  • SUP 2: $41.135 - Low Sep 17
  • SUP 3: $40.000 - Round number support 
  • SUP 4: $38.087 - Low Aug 27  

Trend signals in Silver are unchanged, they remain bullish and recent weakness is considered corrective. The trend has recently been in overbought territory and the retracement has allowed this to unwind. Price remains above support at the 50-day EMA, at $46.238.A clear break of it would signal scope for a deeper retracement. Key resistance has been defined at $54.480, the Oct 17 high. Initial resistance is $49.456, Oct 23 high.

Historical bullets

SOFR: SFRZ6/H7 Lifted

Oct-08 08:11

SFRZ6/H7 paper paid -0.5 on ~6.6K, taken bid over for the balance of an 8K order, with another ~1.1K lots trading on the follow. Small bid left.

FRANCE: Suspension Of Pension Reform Would Risk Intra-Coalition Rancour

Oct-08 08:04

Caretaker Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, speaking outside Matignon after the first day of meetings with various political parties in an effort to break through the country's political paralysis, claims that "talks so far are showing a willingness to get this budget through by year-end". Lecornu will present his findings to President Emmanuel Macron later this evening. Adds, "Reducing the deficit is key for France's credibility."

  • As noted earlier, there have been some signals that the caretaker administration is considering rolling back Macron's flagship pension reforms in order to gain support from the centre-left Socialist Party (PS).
  • Lecornu says that among parties of the centre and centre right, "there is a desire to have a budget for France before December 31 of this year," adding, "This desire creates a movement and a convergence, obviously, which removes the prospects of dissolution."
  • The caretaker PM meets with representatives of the PS at 09:00BST/10:00CET, the environmentalist Ecologists at 11:15BST/12:15CET and the left-wing Communists later in the day.
  • Education Minister and former PM Elisabeth Borne's raising of the prospect of suspending the 2023 pension reform may draw PS support for a budget, but risks rancour with the right of the governing coalition. Arnaud Pericard, spokesperson for the centre-right Horizons, said to FranceInfo, "I understand that it is being put forward, but it is not a good idea," with the conservative Les Republicans (LR) also likely to object. Should Horizons and LR vote down (rather than abstain) on any repeal, their votes would outweigh those of the PS. 

EQUITY OPTIONS: Record Put Spread Option in Aston Martin

Oct-08 08:02

AML (19th Dec) 68/58ps 1x2, bought for 2 and 3 in 100k (100k x 200k).