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Treasury futures rallied last week and are holding on to their recent gains. The medium-term trend remains down and the latest recovery is likely part of a short-term corrective cycle. The contract has cleared the 20-day EMA and attention turns to a key resistance area at the 50-day EMA, at 113-11+. A clear break of this average would strengthen a bullish theme. Key support and the bear trigger has been defined at 110-05, the Jul 6 low.
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