BANXICO: Staying On The Offensive

Mar-23 16:13
  • Markets expect Banxico to raise rates by a further 50bps to 6.50% at the March meeting, with the upward trajectory of core inflation keeping the governing board on track with their most recent pace of tightening. However, ongoing global price pressures as well as the February minutes indicating a consideration of a 75bp hike, shows the possibility of one or two committee members voting for a larger hike should not be discounted.
  • The latest set of minutes from the February meeting, one member had deliberated an even larger 75bps hike. Given the fact that inflation dynamics have worsened, there is potential for this consideration to gain broader traction among the committee. Thus, we would not completely rule out Deputy Governor’s Heath and/or Espinosa potentially dissenting at the March meeting and favouring a 75bps increase.
  • Full Banxico preview here: https://marketnews.com/mni-banxico-preview-march-2...

Historical bullets

EGB OPTIONS: Bobl Put Spread And OTM Call Buying

Feb-21 15:57
  • OEJ2 131/130 1x1.5 put spread bought for 18/19 in 10k
  • OEJ2 137 call bought for 2 in 5k (well OTM)

MNI EXCLUSIVE: Ex-UK Treasury Official On Labour Market Slack

Feb-21 15:35

MNI interviews a former UK Treasury official now heading the Learning and Work think tank about labour market slack - On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com

RUSSIA: Putin: 'Decision To Be Made Today' On Donetsk/Luhansk PR Recognition

Feb-21 15:34

President Vladimir Putin concludes the National Security Council meeting with the comment "Thank you all for your opinions. The decision [on whether to recognize Donetsk/Lukhansk People's Republics] will be taken today."

  • Every Security Council member, barring Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, recommended to President Putin that the two breakaway Ukrainian regions be recognised as independent states.
  • Four days ago, when the State Duma recommended to Putin the recognition of the regions, UK Foreign Sec Liz Truss stated that "If this request were accepted, it would represent a further attack on Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, signal an end to the Minsk process and demonstrate a Russian decision to choose a path of confrontation over dialogue."