POWER: Spanish Hydro Stocks Edge Higher

Dec-27 15:44

 Spanish hydropower reserves last week - calendar week 51 –  edged up to 51.5% of capacity as wind generation increased, demand fell and nuclear generation picked up, data from Spain’s Environmental Ministry showed.

  • Spanish hydropower generation from reservoirs last week decreased by 653MW to 2.01GW. Output from pumped storage edged down by 213MW to 634MW, with run-of-river generation stable on the week 1GW.
  • Nuclear generation in Spain last week rose to 5.47GW from 5.1GW the week prior amid Endesa’s 992MW Asco 2 nuclear reactor ending its unplanned maintenance around 19-20 December.
  • Endesa’s 996MW Asco 1 nuclear reactor returned a bit later on 26 December.
  • Gas-fired generation last week decreased sharply by 4.56GW to 6.25GW.
  • Fossil-fired generation dropped as wind output in Spain last week rose by 3.23GW to 9.03W. Solar PV output was up last week at 3.43GW from 3.2GW.
  • Power demand in Spain last week declined to 28.99GW from 29.57GW the week before.
  • The hydro-intensive region of Huesca saw no precipitation again last week, limiting inflows into reserves.
  • Looking ahead, the latest ECMWF forecast suggests limited precipitation in Huesca for the remainder of this week, with rainfall expected to pick up over 3-4 January to be at around 5mm.
  • Mean temperatures in Madrid are forecast between 3.5C and 4.8C over 28-1 January compared to the seasonal average of around 5.1C.
  • Wind output in Spain for the remainder of this week is forecast between 1.9-2.5GW, or just 7-9% load factors during base-load hours according to SpotRenewables.





     

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Historical bullets

US TSYS: /STIR: Tsys Off Highs Following Data, 75bp Of Fed Cuts Priced For '25

Nov-27 15:50

A strong unrounded supercore PCE print (+0.36% M/M) and firmer-than-expected pending home sales applies some light pressure to Tsys.

  • Yields last 2.5-4.5bp lower on the day, intermediates outperform.
  • TY futures consolidate the bulk of their rally, H5 last 110-23+ vs. post-data lows of 110-22.
  • Fed funds show a slightly shallower easing cycle through ’25 vs. post-08:30 NY data levels, although still fully discounts 75bp of cuts over that horizon.

US TSYS: US TSY 8W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.500%(ALLOT 57.16%)

Nov-27 15:37
  • US TSY 8W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.500%(ALLOT 57.16%)
  • US TSY 8W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 36.39% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 8W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 3.89% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 8W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 59.72% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 8W BILL AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.61

US TSYS: US TSY 4W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.550%(ALLOT 88.18%)

Nov-27 15:36
  • US TSY 4W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.550%(ALLOT 88.18%)
  • US TSY 4W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 21.86% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 4W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 2.53% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 4W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 75.61% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 4W AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.81