EURJPY TECHS: Resumes Its Uptrend

Aug-10 05:38
  • RES 4: 160.66 2.382 proj of the May 11 - 29 - 31 price swing
  • RES 3: 159.92 2.236 proj of the May 11 - 29 - 31 price swing
  • RES 2: 158.72 2.00 proj of the May 11 - 29 - 31 price swing
  • RES 1: 158.23 Intraday high
  • PRICE: 158.16 @ 06:37 BST Aug 10
  • SUP 1: 156.26/155.54 20-day EMA / Low Aug 3
  • SUP 2: 154.65 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 151.42 Low Jul 28 and key support
  • SUP 4: 150.16 38.2% retracement of the Jan 3 - Jul 21 bull cycle

Short-term conditions in EURJPY remain bullish and the cross is trading higher today. Key resistance at 158.05, the Jul 21 high, has been breached. The break confirms a continuation of the medium-term uptrend and opens 158.72, a Fibonacci projection. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode condition, highlighting a rising trend. Key support is at 151.42, the Jul 28 low. Initial firm support lies at 154.65, the 50-day EMA.

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-11 05:23
Date UK Period Event
11-Jul 0001 Jun BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
11-Jul 0700 May/Jun Labour Market Survey
12-Jul 0700 --- BOE FPC Summary and Record
12-Jul 0900 --- Financial Stability Report press conference
13-Jul 0700 May GDP / Serv./Prod. Index / Trade Balance / Cons. output
19-Jul 0700 Jun Consumer inflation report / Producer prices
19-Jul 0930 May ONS House Price Index
19-Jul 1700 --- BoE Ramsden speech on QT - Money Macro and Finance Society
21-Jul 0001 Jul Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
21-Jul 0700 Jun Public Sector Finances / Retail Sales
24-Jul 0930 Jul S&P Manufacturing / Services / Composite PMI flash
31-Jul 0930 Jun BOE M4 / BOE Lending to Individuals
01-Aug 0001 Jul BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
03-Aug 0930 Jul BOE DMP Survey
03-Aug 1200 Aug Bank Of England Interest Rate

US TSYS: TY Blocked

Jul-11 05:19

Latest block trade lodged at 06:00:56 London/ 01:00:56 NY

  • TYU3 2.5k lots blocked at 111-08+, looks like a buyer

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jul-11 05:18

Date

Time

Country

Event

11-Jul

0700

DE

HICP (f)

11-Jul

0900

IT

Industrial Production

11-Jul

1000

DE

ZEW Current Conditions/Expectations Index

12-Jul

0800

ES

HICP (f)

12-Jul

1445

EU

ECB Lane panels at NBER conference.

13-Jul

---

EU

ECB Lagarde & Panetta in Eurogroup Meeting

13-Jul

0745

FR

HICP (f)

13-Jul

1000

EU

Industrial Production

14-Jul

1000

EU

Trade Balance

14-Jul

---

EU

ECB de Guindos in Ecofin Meeting

16-Jul

---

EU

ECB Panetta at G20 Finance/Central Bank meeting

17-Jul

---

EU

ECB Panetta at G20 Finance/Central Bank meeting

17-Jul

0900

IT

Italy Final HICP

17-Jul

0915

EU

ECB Lagarde speaks at ECB CESEE conference

17-Jul

0930

EU

ECB Lane chairs session at ECB CESEE conference

17-Jul

1315

EU

ECB Elderson chairs session at ECB CESEE conference