*SWEDEN 3Q GDP RISES 1.1% Q/Q; EST. +1.1%
Swedish Q3 GDP confirmed flash estimates - somewhat of an impressive feat given the volatile and revision prone nature of the flash. Consensus had a large negative skew, with estimates ranging from 0.6-1.1%.
This leaves GDP well above the Riksbank's 0.5% September MPR forecast. Note that Q2 was also revised up to 0.8% Q/Q
No meaningful Riksbank policy changes expected in the near-term, with the policy rate likely to be at 1.75% for "some time to come". However, recent positive activity signals suggest the risks of a hike back to 2.00% are greater than the risk of another cut over the next 6-12months.
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The trend structure in Eurostoxx 50 futures is unchanged and remains bullish. Monday’s fresh cycle high reinforces a bull theme and maintains the rising price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Note too that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant medium-term uptrend. Sights are on 5727.18, a Fibonacci projection. First support lies at 5633.28, the 20-day EMA.