OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bear Threat In Gold Remains Present

Apr-29 10:33
  • On the commodity front, Gold remains in consolidation mode and is trading closer to its recent lows. The precious metal last week pierced the 20-day EMA and this highlights the start of a possible corrective cycle. A continuation lower would signal scope for an extension towards $2233.6, the 50-day EMA. Note that a short-term bear cycle would allow a significant overbought condition to unwind. Key resistance and the bull trigger is at $2431.5, the recent Apr 12 high.
  • In the oil space, WTI futures continue to trade above key short-term support at $81.14, the 50-day EMA. The recent move down between Apr 12 - 22, highlights a corrective phase and a clear break of the 50-day average would signal scope for a deeper retracement towards $76.07, the Mar 11 low. On the upside, key resistance and the bull trigger has been defined at $86.97, the Apr 12 high.

Historical bullets

MNI: POWELL SAYS PCE INFLATION CAME IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS

Mar-29 15:26



  • MNI: POWELL SAYS PCE INFLATION CAME IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS

MNI: US FEB PERSONAL INCOME +0.3%; NOM PCE +0.8%

Mar-29 12:30



  • MNI: US FEB PERSONAL INCOME +0.3%; NOM PCE +0.8%
  • US FEB PCE PRICE INDEX +0.3%; +2.5% Y/Y
  • US FEB CORE PCE PRICE INDEX +0.3%; +2.8% Y/Y
  • US FEB UNROUNDED PCE PRICE INDEX +0.333%; CORE +0.261%

FRANCE AUCTION PREVIEW: On offer next week

Mar-29 10:32

E11.0-12.5bln of LT OATs on Thursday 4 April (a slightly smaller auction than in February or March):

  • the 3.50% Nov-33 OAT (ISIN: FR001400L834)
  • the 3.25% May-55 OAT (ISIN: FR001400OHF4)
  • the 4.00% Apr-60 OAT (ISIN: FR0010870956)
  • the 1.75% Jun-39 Green OAT (ISIN: FR0013234333)
Up to E7.2bln of 13/22/24/51-week BTFs on offer Tuesday 2 April:
  • E3.1-3.5bln of the new 13-week Jul 3, 2024 BTF
  • E0.1-0.5bln of the 22-week Sep 4, 2024 BTF
  • E1.3-1.7bln of the 24-week Sep 18, 2024 BTF
  • E1.1-1.5bln of the 51-week Mar 26, 2025 BTF