STIR FUTURES: Potential Spillover As BoC Nears Peak
Jan-25 11:15
- Fed Funds implied hikes almost unchanged from yesterday: 26bp for Feb 1, cumulative 46bp for Mar, 58bp to terminal 4.91% in Jun (-0.5bp) before 46bp of cuts to 4.45% Dec.
- A light docket sees potential BoC spillover. It’s broadly expected to hike 25bps (5 of 27 analysts see pause, OIS pricing nudging lower from 20bps to circa 18bps) with a question whether it signals a pause ahead or leaves options open.
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LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
Dec-26 06:23
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 03-Jan | 0930 | Dec | IHS Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Final) |
| 04-Jan | 0001 | Dec | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
| 04-Jan | 0930 | Nov | BOE M4 / Lending |
| 05-Jan | 0930 | Dec | IHS Markit/CIPS Services PMI (Final) |
| 05-Jan | 0930 | Dec | BOE Dec DMP Survey |
| 06-Jan | 0930 | Dec | IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI |
| 07-Jan | 1615 | BOE Mann Panellist at American Economics Association | |
| 08-Jan | 1300 | BOE Pill Panellist at American Economics Association | |
| 09-Jan | ---- | ---- | House of Commons Returns |
| 11-Jan | 0001 | Dec | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 13-Jan | 0700 | Dec | UK Monthly GDP/Services/Production/Trade/Construction |
| 17-Jan | 0700 | Dec | Labour Market Survey |
| 18-Jan | 0700 | Dec | Inflation report |
| 18-Jan | 0930 | Dec | ONS House Price Index |
| 20-Jan | 0700 | Dec | Retail Sales |
LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
Dec-26 06:18
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 29-Dec | 0800 | ES | Retail Sales |
| 29-Dec | 0900 | EU | HICP (p) / M3 |
| 30-Dec | 0800 | ES | HICP (p) |
| 02-Jan | 0815 | ES | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 02-Jan | 0845 | IT | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 02-Jan | 0850 | FR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 02-Jan | 0855 | DE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 02-Jan | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 03-Jan | 0855 | DE | Unemployment |
| 03-Jan | 1300 | DE | HICP (p) |
| 04-Jan | 0745 | FR | Consumer Sentiment / HICP |
| 04-Jan | 0815 | ES | S&P Global Services PMI (f) |
| 04-Jan | 0845 | IT | S&P Global Services PMI (f) |
| 04-Jan | 0850 | FR | S&P Global Services PMI (f) |
| 04-Jan | 0855 | DE | S&P Global Services PMI (f) |
| 04-Jan | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Services PMI (f) |
CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 6.9825 MON VS 6.9810
Dec-26 01:21
- CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 6.9825 MON VS 6.9810
