US TSYS: Post-ISM Services Data React, Through Resistance

Jun-04 14:09
  • Treasury futures extended highs, drawing some sell interest after mixed ISM Services data (index & new orders lower than expected, prices paid and employ higher).
  • Tsy Sep'25 10Y futures currently trades +17.5 at 111-00 (111-01 high) through resistance at 110-30 (High May 30 and high Jun 2). Next resistance at 111-05.5 (High May 9).
  • Curves mixed now, off early lows: 2s10s -0.729 at 49.126, 5s30s +0.386 at 96.231
  • Cross asset: Stocks pare gains (SPX eminis steady at 5981.5), Gold bouncing to 3363.45, Bbg US$ index extending lows 1208.96 (-5.0).

Historical bullets

EUR: FX Exchange traded Option

May-05 14:08

EURUSD (9th May) 1.1400p, sold at 0.0079 in ~1.1k.

BUNDS: Fell 20 ticks on the US ISM Services Data

May-05 14:05
  • The German Bund falls 20 ticks following the higher than expected US ISM services, Price Paid, New orders and Employment all beat expectation.
  • The move is still fairly contained and support is still see at 130.75, despite printing a 130.69 Overnight.

US TSYS: Post-ISM Services React

May-05 14:05
  • Treasury futures gap lower after higher than expected ISM Services data.
  • Jun'25 10Y currently -5 at 111-00 vs. 110-31 low (10Y yld at 4.3453%), through technical support below at 111-02 (Low Mar 2 / 50-dma).
  • Sights are on support at the 50-day EMA, at 110-30+. A clear breach of this average would strengthen a bearish threat and expose 110-16+, the Apr 22 low.
  • Cross asset: Still weaker BBG US$ index bounces to 1220.07 (-4.44); stocks pare losses: S&P eminis -38.5 at 5670.25.