US TSY FUTURES: Post-Housing Data React

Oct-19 12:35

Tsys extending session lows after mixed data: housing start weaker than expected (including revision) while build permits stronger (including revision). Tsy 10YY taps 4.1189% high, but recede after initial move to 4.1064%. Yield curves steeper:

  • 3M10Y +3.92, 13.713 (L: 4.881 / H: 15.207)
  • 2Y10Y +1.046, -41.794 (L: -43.7 / H: -40.722)
  • 2Y30Y -2.792, -43.424 (L: -43.864 / H: -40.456)
  • 5Y30Y -4.757, -24.236 (L: -24.864 / H: -18.992)

Historical bullets

MNI: CANADA AUG INDUSTRIAL PRICES -1.2% MOM; EX-ENERGY -0.3%

Sep-19 12:30



  • MNI: CANADA AUG INDUSTRIAL PRICES -1.2% MOM; EX-ENERGY -0.3%
  • CANADA AUG RAW MATERIALS PRICES -4.2% MOM; EX-ENERGY +0.1%

US TSYS: Early Eurodollar/SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup

Sep-19 12:29

Mostly puts on modest volume, some light call trade. Many accts plying the sidelines ahead flood of CB policy annc this week lead by the FOMC (Wed) and BoE (Thu). Otherwise low volumes with with Japan out for one day holiday (Respect for the aged) and London banks closed for the Queen's funeral.

  • SOFR Options:
    • 2,000 short Aug 95.50/95.75 put spds vs. 96.75/96.87 call spds
    • 4,500 SFRF3 95.00/95.25 put spds ref 95.62
  • Eurodollar Options:
    • 2,100 Oct 95.56/95.68 call spds ref 95.42
    • 1,500 Nov 95.50/95.75 2x1 put spds
    • 2,000 Dec 94.75/95.00 put spds ref 95.43
  • Treasury Options:
    • +6,000 FVZ 110.5 calls 30-30.5 ref 108-30.75 to -31
    • 15,600 TYX 112 puts, 24-26 ref 114-13.5 to -10.5
    • 3,800 FVX 108 puts, 24.5
    • 10,000 TYX 112.5 puts, 30
    • 3,000 TYX 111/113 put spds

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - US Daily Brief

Sep-19 12:28
  • Permitting reform continues to complicate negotiations on a Continuing Resolution to keep the government funded until mid-December.
  • Democrats are seeking an additional USD$12 billion for Ukraine.
  • US President Joe Biden has appeared to contradict official US policy on Taiwan for the fourth time since taking the White House.
  • Biden said yesterday: "The [COVID-19] pandemic is over."
  • Poll of the Day: Democrats are polling strongly amongst Latino voters, despite suggestion of a shift towards the GOP.

Full Article: https://marketnews.com/mni-political-risk-analysis...