EM ASIA CREDIT: Petronas: Restructuring on margin compression

Jun-05 23:49

(PETMK, A2/A-/BBB+)

"*PETRONAS TO CUT 5000 JOBS, OR 10% OF WORKFORCE, CEO SAYS" - BBG

Petronas reported overnight that it plans to cut 10% of its workforce (c. 5,000 people) as part of a large restructuring effort. The rational being falling oil prices and margins from older assets. The CEO was quoted as saying “It will be challenging to meet dividend targets”. The company also denied plans to sell Canadian assets.

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AUSSIE BONDS: Richer With US Tsys, Risk-On After US-CH H/Ls

May-06 23:32

ACGBs (YM +3.0 & XM +2.5) are stronger after US tsys ended mostly richer, reacting to a strong 10-Year note auction. The move was generally across the board, resulting in the yield curve being relatively unchanged (2s10s +0.08 at 50.773).

  • After the US close, risk appetite is firmer post-headlines of US-China officials to meet this week to discuss trade issues.
  • The FOMC today will be watched closely, MNI Economist - "The FOMC will extend its series of rate holds to a third meeting in May, keeping the Fed funds target rate at 4.25-4.50% while maintaining its forward guidance in the Statement."
  • Cash ACGBs are 2-3bps richer with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at +2bps.
  • The bills strip has bull-flattened, with pricing flat to +4.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is slightly softer across meetings today. A 50bp rate cut in May is given a 4% probability, with a cumulative 103bps of easing priced by year-end (based on an effective cash rate of 4.09%).
  • Today, the local calendar will see Foreign Reserves data.
  • The AOFM plans to sell A$1000mn of the 3.75% 21 April 2037 bond today and A$700mn of the 2.75% 21 November 2029 bond on Friday.

JGBS: Trading To Resume After Long Weekend

May-06 23:20

In post-Tokyo trade on Friday, JGB futures closed weaker, -15 compared to settlement levels. The local market was closed on Monday and Tuesday this week. 

  • Overnight, US tsys ended mostly richer, reacting to a strong 10-Year note auction. The move was generally across the board.
  • After the US close, risk appetite is firmer post-headlines of US-China officials to meet this week to discuss trade issues. From our policy team: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with China's "lead representative on economic matters" later this week in Switzerland, according to statements released Tuesday.
  • Further headlines have crossed from Bessent stating they will meet with Chinese officials this Saturday and Sunday. US equity futures have firmed, Eminis up by around 0.70%, while Nasdaq futures are +1.00% higher.
  • "The Bank of Japan will begin its own corporate wage survey. As the Bank of Japan aims to realize a virtuous cycle in which wages and prices rise together, there is a strong concern that wage increases at small and medium-sized enterprises that do not have labor unions and are not included in the Rengo survey are weak." - Kyodo News via BBG
  • Today, the local calendar will see Jibun Bank Composite & Services PMIs alongside BoJ Rinban Operations covering 1-5-year and 25-year+ JGBs.

CROSS ASSET: Risk Appetite Firms on US-China Trade Talk Headlines

May-06 23:09

Risk appetite is firmer post headlines of US-China officials to meet this week to discuss trade issues. 

  • From our policy team: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with China's "lead representative on economic matters" later this week in Switzerland, according to statements released Tuesday.
  • Further headlines have crossed from Bessent stating they will meet with China officials this Saturday and Sunday
  • US equity futures have firmed, Eminis up by around 0.70%, while Nasdaq futures are +1.00% higher. For Eminis we are still sub recent highs of 5725, last near 5665.
  • In the FX space, yen is off around 0.55%, last near 143.25/30, while USD/CHF is up by a similar amount, tracking to 0.8260. AUD and NZD are outperforming, more so the AUD, which was last 0.6510/15. NZD/USD is close to 0.6015, just off session highs at 0.6022. NZD did rise as well on NZ jobs figures, which showed a slightly lower than expected jobless rate, but follow through is limited. USD/CNH is back close to 7.1950, up around 0.20% in CNH terms.
  • In commodities, gold is off 1.5%, but remains elevated near $3400.
  • Oil is 0.65% firmer for WTI, building on yesterday's +3.4% rise.