US EURODLR OPTIONS: Overnight Trade Roundup

May-13 11:58
  • 3,000 short Dec 96.25/96.75 3x2 put spds, 13.0 vs. 96.815/0.08%
  • +4,500 short Dec 95.75/96.00 put spds, 4.5 vs. 96.86-.89/0.06%
  • 2,500 Sep 97.25/98.25 call spds
  • 3,000 May 98.12/98.18 call spds

Historical bullets

US TSY OPTIONS: BLOCK, 5Y Put Buy

Apr-13 11:48
  • +10,000 FVM 112.5 puts, 21.5 ref 113-23.25 at 0728:31ET

What to Watch: PPI, Geopol Risk, Fed Gov Waller, Equity Earnings

Apr-13 11:45

Rates trading steady to mixed - off lows to near middle overnight range, decent volumes (TYM2>450k) after buying emerged in early London trade. Tsy curves continue to march steeper, 2s10s +3.271 at 34.449 vs. -9.561 inversion early April 4, 5s30s off inversion: +2.073 at 5.096.

  • Geopol headlines getting some attn as Sweden and Finland appear closer in joining NATO (see 0636ET and 0732ET bullets), potentially expanding NATO-aligned country boarders w/ Russia threefold to appr 1000 miles from 300 now.
  • Equity earnings cycle kicks off with multiple banks releasing (JPM and Blackrock out, GS, MS, BAC, WF, USB, BK on tap)
  • Headline data Mar PPI at 0830ET:
    • PPI Final Demand MoM (0.8%, 1.1%); YoY (10.0%, 10.6%)
    • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (0.2%, 0.5%); YoY (8.4%, 8.4%)
    • PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM (0.2%, 0.5%); YoY (6.6%, 6.6%)
  • Fed speakers scheduled:
    • Fed Gov Waller CNBC interview at 1530ET
  • Tsy auctions: $20B 30Y Bond re-open follows $30B 119D bill CMB today, 4W and 8W bills tomorrow wrap up the week's Tsy supply
  • Look ahead: Retail Sales Thursday (Adv MoM 0.6%).
  • FI markets close 1300ET Thursday, closed for Good Friday ahead Easter Sunday.

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily

Apr-13 11:43
  • President Biden doubled down on his description of Russian actions in Ukraine as 'genocide'.
  • The Pentagon will hold classified talks with CEOs from eight weapons manufacturers today to discuss the industry's capacity to meet Ukraine's weapons needs if the war extends into the years.
  • The US State Department has taken steps to withdraw US consular staff from Shanghai in response to its Covid-19 lockdown.
  • The US Navy has confirmed that a US carrier strike group is currently operating off the Korean Peninsula in response to a recent uptick in tensions with North Korea.
  • 0900ET: US Secretary of State Antony Blinken will meet at with Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry in Washington.

More: https://marketnews.com/mni-political-risk-analysis-us-daily-brief-13-04