OIL: Oil End of Day Summary: Crude Climbs on Xi-Trump Call

Jun-05 18:09

Crude has risen today after a Trump-Xi call, with the two sides agreeing to meet for further trade discussions soon. The move higher has offset declines seen yesterday after reports that Saudi Arabia was seeking further large OPEC+ output hikes.

  • WTI JUL 25 up 0.9% at 63.42$/bbl
  • Trump and Xi held a phone call today, discussing trade related matters. Though no major developments were announced, the two sides agreed that a new round of talks should start as soon as possible.
  • US President Donald Trump has told reporters in the Oval Office that he will greenlight new sanctions on Russia if he sees a moment "when we're not going to make a deal and this thing won't stop."
  • Russian President Putin told US President Trump that Russia would respond to Ukraine’s attack on its bombers, with prospects of a breakthrough towards a peace agreement looking unlikely.
  • Saudi Arabia said it is considering pushing for another 411kb/d in both August and September: Bloomberg.
  • Saudi Aramco has decreased the OSP of Arab Light crude by $0.2/bbl on the month for sales to Asia in July, a lower-than-expected reduction.
  • Wildfires 10 hectares or larger are within ~10km of ~455k b/d of oil production, down from 462k b/d on Wednesday, according to Alberta Wildfire and Alberta Energy Regulator data.
  • Canada’s TMX flows from Westridge Marine Terminal declined to 453k b/d in May, down from 491 kbd in April: Kpler.
  • Venezuela’s state-run oil company has signed at least nine new deals with foreign service providers, including two Chinese firms, Bloomberg reports.

Historical bullets

US: FED Reverse Repo Operation

May-06 18:06

RRP usage inches up to $129.858B this afternoon from $124.690B yesterday, total number of counterparties at 34. Usage had fallen to $54.772B last Wednesday, April 16 -- lowest level since April 2021. Conversely, usage had surged to the highest level since December 31, 2024 on Monday, March 31: $399.167B.

reverse repo 05062025

EURGBP TECHS: Tests Key Support

May-06 18:00
  • RES 4: 0.8781 2.236 proj of the Mar 3 - 11 - 28 price swing     
  • RES 3: 0.8768 High Nov 20 ‘23
  • RES 2: 0.8624/0.8738 High Apr 21/ High Apr 11 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: 0.8557 High Apr 28 
  • PRICE: 0.8487 @ 16:52 BST May 6
  • SUP 1: 0.8467 50-day EMA  
  • SUP 2: 0.8462 Low May 1
  • SUP 3: 0.8415 76.4% retracement of the Mar 28 - Apr 11 rally 
  • SUP 4: 0.8316 Low Mar 28 and a key support  

EURGBP traded lower again Tuesday and a short-term bear cycle remains in play, for now. The next support has been broken at 0.8477, a Fibonacci retracement point, below which the 50-day EMA at 0.8467 has been tested. It is still possible the move down that started Apr 11, is a correction. A clear reversal would open 0.8738, the Apr 11 high and bull trigger. First key resistance is 0.8624, the Apr 21 high.    

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $5B BoA 3Pt Launched

May-06 17:54

$24.9B Corporate issuance to price Tuesday

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 05/06 $5B #Bank of America $2.25B 4NC3 +85, $750M 4NC3 SOFR+111, $2B 11NC10 +115
  • 05/06 $2.5B #PNC $1.25B 2NC1 +75, $1B 6NC5 +100
  • 05/06 $2B #Grupo Nutresa $1B 5Y 8%, $1B 10Y 9%
  • 05/06 $2B #Cummins Inc $300M +50, $700M +5Y +80, $1B 10Y +100
  • 05/06 $1.75B #Starbucks $750M 3Y +77, $500M 5Y +90, $500M 10Y+110
  • 05/06 $1.75B #Standard Chartered $1B 6NC5 +135, $750M 6NC5 SOFR+168
  • 05/06 $1.75B #Biogen $400M +5Y +115, $650M 10Y +145, $700M 30Y +165
  • 05/06 $1.75B #UBS 11NC10 +128
  • 05/06 $1.5B #Deutsche Bank 6NC5 +140
  • 05/06 $1B #Dominion Energy 3Y +87.5
  • 05/06 $750B #Gold Fields 7Y +175
  • 05/06 $650M #American Homes 4 Rent 5Y +117
  • 05/06 $500M #Host Hotels & Resorts 7Y +180
  • 05/06 $500M #SURA Asset Mgt 7Y +230
  • 05/06 $500M *Shinhan Bank 5Y +72
  • 05/06 $500M #LYB Int 10Y +187
  • 05/06 $500M #Eaton WNG 5Y +65