EGBS: OAT and BTP Spreads Widen Into Cash Close

Jun-19 15:25

10-year OAT and BTP spreads to Bunds have widened into the European cash close. The BTP/Bund spread is now ~154bps, while the OAT/Bund spread is ~79bps.

  • There hasn’t been any obvious headline flow driving the price action, though the moves may represent a degree of caution ahead of tomorrow’s MT OAT supply.
  • That will be the first French auction since the announcement of the snap General election on June 9 and will be a key litmus test for that market.
  • However, we note that the auction size range is the smallest since August 2023 for MT lines, at E8.0-10.5bln.

Historical bullets

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Jun'24 5Y Buy

May-20 15:23
  • +5,000 FVM4 105-25.25, buy through 105-25 post time offer at 1114:49ET, DV01 $208,000. Contract trades 105-25.5 last (-2.5)

US TSYS: US TSY 13W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.480 BLN FROM $70.000 BLN TOTAL

May-20 15:15
  • US TSY 13W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.480 BLN FROM $70.000 BLN TOTAL

US TSYS: US TSY 26W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.106 BLN FROM $70.000 BLN TOTAL

May-20 15:15
  • US TSY 26W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.106 BLN FROM $70.000 BLN TOTAL