POWER: NVE Raises Grid Revenue Framework for 2026

Nov-19 08:59

NVE has provisionally calculated the revenue frameworks for grid companies in 2026, which will be slightly higher on the year partly due to investments in the power grid.

  • The increase is also because of higher costs related to grid losses, operation and maintenance.
  • NVE set the revenue ceiling for 2026 at NOK43.5bn (€3.72bn) for all grid companies.
  • For Statnett, the revenue framework for 2026 is set at NOK 17.6bn, compared with NOK 15.7bn in 2025.
  • The revenue framework is intended to cover costs of investments. 

Historical bullets

BOJ: May Revise Up FY25 Growth Forecast At Oct Meeting: Reuters

Oct-20 08:44

Reuters sources on the BOJ's growth forecasts:

  • " BOJ MAY SLIGHTLY REVISE UP ECONOMIC GROWTH FORECAST FOR FISCAL 2025 AT OCTOBER POLICY MEETING, SOURCES SAY" Reuters
  • "BOJ LIKELY TO MAINTAIN VIEW ECONOMY ON COURSE FOR MODERATE RECOVERY, DESPITE HEADWINDS FROM U.S. TARIFFS, SOURCES SAY" Reuters

BUNDS: Cash Basis Trade

Oct-20 08:25

Bund Basis trade, suggest Cash seller:

  • RXZ5 7k at 129.83.

GILTS: Steady Open; Trend In 10-year Yields Still To The Upside

Oct-20 08:22

A fairly steady open for Gilts ahead of an important week for UK data. Futures are -4 ticks at 92.42. A short-term bull cycle in futures remains intact though, with initial resistance at Friday’s high of 93.17.

  • Yields are up to 1bp higher across the curve. 10-year yields are currently 4.536%, down from this month’s 4.758% high. Despite this month’s fall in yields, the medium-term trend for the 10-year is still to the upside. Initial support is the April 7 low at 4.363%, which shields trendline support drawn from the November 2022 low at 4.232% today.
  • See MNI’s Tech Trend Monitor for more, which also includes charts on the 30-year Gilt yield.
  • Fiscal policy remains a key focus for the Gilt market ahead of the Nov 26th budget. The main fiscal headlines from the weekend have suggested that VAT may be removed from energy bills.
  • September public sector finance data is due on Tuesday. After correcting for a VAT error in last month’s release, PSNB is currently tracking GBP9.4bln below the OBR’s forecast year-to-date.
  • This release, alongside Wednesday’s CPI report (important  for the near-term BOE outlook) will feed into the OBR’s Round 3 forecast on October 31 ( see here for more).

Figure 1: 10-year Gilt Yields (Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P)

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