CANADA DATA: No Further Progress In CFIB Inflationary Pressures In July
Jul-27 11:34
Released at 0600ET, the CFIB small business barometer inched up from 54.0 to 54.2 in July.
There was no further progress in price and wage intentions after recently declining, especially prices, to 3.3% and 2.9% respectively over the next year.
Labor shortages remain a key impediment to sales/production and have been trending higher recently, with the lack of skilled labor quoted by 51% of respondents and un/semi-skilled labor by 37%.
EUR: Creeping Market-Implied ECB Rates Drags Single Currency Higher
Jun-27 11:28
A little more on the EUR move across European hours - EUR/USD is now testing 1.0950 and EUR/GBP has topped 0.86 with the single currency stronger against all others in G10.
Modest strength comes alongside the creep higher in ECB market-implied policy expectations: ECB-dated OIS terminal pricing has now edged back to 4.00% in deposit rate terms as Kazaks, Simkus retained a hawkish bias.
In futures space, participation has been somewhat low - cumulative EUR futures volumes sit just below average for this time of day, with relatively little uptick in activity following the opening Sintra remarks from ECB's Lagarde - despite her somewhat hawkish overtones.
Focus for EURUSD turns to 1.0959 initially ahead of 1.0973 - the 76.4% retracement for the Thurs-Fri leg lower from last week.
STIR: Early SOFR Option Roundup
Jun-27 11:25
Modest summer volumes rotating around downside put structures overnight, underlying futures mildly weaker as projected 25bp rate hike atone of the next four meetings persist. Salient SOFR Options:
1,000 SFRV3 94.12/94.37/94.50/94.62 put condors
1,000 SFRN3 94.50/94.56/94.62/94.68 put condors
1,000 SFRZ3 94.50/94.62/94.75/94.87 put condors ref 94.765
1,000 SFRN3 94.56/94.62/94.68 put trees, 3.0 ref 94.655