OIL PRODUCTS: Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Operating at 60% Capacity

May-29 12:30

Operating the 650k b/d Dangote refinery at full capacity is a function of parameters such as leveraging crude sourcing, currency, and product demand, Artika Shukla, chairman of India’s state-run Engineers India Ltd. Said, cited by Bloomberg.

  • Engineers India provided project consultancy for the Dangote refinery having a capacity of 650,000 barrels/day
  • Shukla said she wasn’t aware of the gasoline production at Dangote being shut earlier in 2025, but that shutdowns are normal operational issues, she added.
  • The FCC unit at the refinery has a capacity of 10m mtpa is the world’s largest. The scale and size of the unit makes it a challenge to operate.

Historical bullets

GILTS: Initial Resistance In Futures Holds For A Second Day

Apr-29 12:29

Gilt futures continue to respect initial resistance at Friday’s high (93.34), topping out at 93.33 for a second consecutive session.

  • Still, the bullish technical phase in the contract remains intact, with pullbacks remaining relatively shallow at this stage.
  • If the move does develop further, through a break of Friday’s high, focus would quickly shift to the nearby 76.4% retracement of the April 7-9 sell off (93.44).
  • Yields are 1-3bp lower on the day, with 10s outperforming and 50s lagging.
  • Gilt bulls eye 4.460% in 10-Year yields.
  • 2s10s continue to trade around 16bp below cycle closing highs, although the spread has failed to close back below 60bp since the break above in early April, last ~62.8bp.
  • 5s30s is ~10bp below cycle closing highs, last 128bp.
  • As we have previously noted, while fundamentals (the potential for a more activist BoE easing cycle, tepid economic growth and ongoing fiscal fragility) point to further curve steepening, already crowded steeper plays and apparent increased activism from public agencies (Treasury, DMO & the BoE) when it comes to limiting long end yield spikes presents risks/limitations to such moves, at least in the short-term.

EGB SYNDICATION: 3.00% Jun-49 Green OAT: Priced

Apr-29 12:14
  • Reoffer: 87.014 to yield 3.834%
  • Spread set earlier at 3.00% Jul-49 OAT + 13bps (guidance was +15bp area)
  • Size: E5bln (MNI expects E4-8bln)
  • Books in excess of E74bln (inc JLM interest)
  • Settlement: May 7, 2025 (T+5)
  • Bookrunners: Barclays, BNPP (B&D), BofA, CA-CIB, HSBC, Natixis
  • Timing: MNI expects to price today

Source: Bloomberg and MNI colour

GILT PAOF RESULTS: GBP217.0mln of the 1.25% Nov-54 linker sold.

Apr-29 12:03
  • GBP225.0mln had been on offer.
  • This leaves GBP15.050bln of the linker in issue.

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