US: NEC Director Brian Deese: WH Looking At Additional SPR Releases

Oct-06 15:44

Director of the National Economic Council Brian Deese taking questions alongside White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre aboard Air Force One, en route to New York.

  • Livestream: https://www.whitehouse.gov/live/
  • Deese says "OPEC decision [to cut production] is disappointing because lack of supply continues to be a problem" but, "the impact on production will be significantly lower than the headline they announced."
  • Deese says WH "will have to see the impact on market" and "will continue to look at" additional releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
  • Deese says White House is not yet ready to announce what steps it will take in response to OPEC's production cut.
  • Deese: "Most serious oil market analysts say that one of the most significant drivers of blunting oil price increase is the President's decision to release 1mbp/d [from the SPR]."
  • Deese says oil export ban remains on the table. A US export ban could have potentially damaging knock-on effect on European energy markets.
  • If the OPEC production cut leads to a sustained increase in the price of oil in the short term it could be politically damaging for Democrats in midterm elections. White House seeking to frame the OPEC decision as out of step with markets and suggest that OPEC aligned with Russia.

Historical bullets

UK: Truss Set To Deliver First Address As PM

Sep-06 15:34

New Prime Minister Liz Truss is set to deliver her first speech in office from 10 Downing Street shortly.

  • Her motorcade is currently transiting west London (roughly 15-20 mins out from Downing St.), with the PM's plane having landed a short time ago following her trip to Balmoral Castle in Scotland to be officially invited to form a gov't by Queen Elizabeth II.
  • Link to livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jydJEQE7TM0
  • PM not expected to announce details of any forthcoming assistance to public/businesses on rising energy prices, but could give indication as to if there is indeed a package of support coming.

MNI EXCLUSIVE: U.S. Regulatory Plans For Bilateral Repo Trade Reporting

Sep-06 15:31

MNI looks at a U.S. regulator's plans for mandatory reporting on trades in the non-centrally cleared bilateral repo market. --On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: ‌‌(Z2)‌‌ Through Bear Trigger

Sep-06 15:11
  • RES 4: 119-18 High Aug 17
  • RES 3: 118-15 50-day EMA
  • RES 2: 117-29/118-00 20-day EMA / High Aug 26
  • RES 1: 117-07+ High Aug 31
  • PRICE: 115-19+ @ 16:09 BST Sep 6
  • SUP 1: 115-14+ Low Sep 6
  • SUP 2: 114-26 Low Jun 16
  • SUP 3: 114-06 Low Jun 14 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 114-00 Round number support

The outlook for Treasuries worsened Tuesday, with prices showing below both 116-01+, 61.8% of the Jun 14 - Aug 2 rally as well as the bear trigger at 115-23. A clear break here supports the case for a move back to 114-06, Jun 14 low. Initial firm resistance has been defined at 118-00, Aug 26 high.