US: NEC Director Brainard: Negotiators Instructed To Resist "Extreme Measures"

May-18 17:10

Director of the White House National Economic Council, Lael Brainard, has told a briefing on "preventing default," alongside Vice President Kamala Harris, that "the risk of default is the single biggest threat to continued economic progress."

  • Livestream: LINK
  • Brainard: "A default on our obligations would likely lead millions of Americans to lose their jobs, it would lead the stock market to fall sharply... it would mean car loans/mortgage loans would become much more expensive and the cost of borrowing for the US government would become much much more expensive."
  • Brainard: "Conversations between the administration's team and the team of the Speaker of the House are now ongoing and our goal is to work towards a reasonable bipartisan budget agreement, which we do every year."
  • "The administration's negotiating team is fighting against extreme attempts to reverse the progress we've made creating clean energy jobs, combatting climate change, and lowering costs for middle class families."
  • "The administration's negotiators are instructed to resist extreme attempts to take health care away from Americans or otherwise push Americans into poverty."

Historical bullets

EURUSD TECHS: Pullback Confirmed as Corrective

Apr-18 17:00
  • RES 4: 1.1185 High Mar 31 2022
  • RES 3: 1.1127 1.00 projection of the Mar 15 - 23 - 24 price swing
  • RES 2: 1.1076 High Apr 1 2022 and Friday’s high
  • RES 1: 1.1000 High Apr 17
  • PRICE: 1.0968 @ 15:52 BST Apr 18
  • SUP 1: 1.0909 Low Apr 17
  • SUP 2: 1.0884 20-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 1.0831 Low Apr 10
  • SUP 4: 1.0790 50-day EMA

The uptrend in EURUSD remains intact and the latest pullback was confirmed as corrective Tuesday. Last week’s gains resulted in the break of 1.1033, the Feb 2 high. This reinforced bullish conditions and more importantly, confirmed a resumption of the broader uptrend that started Sep 28 2022. The focus is on 1.1127, a Fibonacci projection and 1.1185 further out, the Mar 31 2022 high. On the downside, key short-term support lies at the 20-day EMA, at 1.0884.

OPTIONS: 2024 Euribor Upside Features

Apr-18 16:52

Tuesday's Europe rates / bond options flow included:

  • ERH4 98.50/99.00cs, bought for 2.75 in 5k
  • ERU4 99.50/100.00/100.50c fly bought for 1 in 5k

US TSY OPTIONS: Jun'23 10Y Vol Sale

Apr-18 16:48
  • -4,000 TYM 112.5/113.5 strangles from 160-159