JAPAN: Modest Net Flows In Latest Weekly International Security Flow Data

May-19 02:28

The latest round of weekly international security flow data out of Japan revealed flips in terms of the sign in front of the 4 major net flow metrics.

  • Japanese investors were net buyers of foreign bonds for the first week since early April, although the 4-week rolling sum of the measure remains comfortably in negative territory.
  • Foreign investors flipped to net buying of Japanese bonds after 3 consecutive weeks of net sales.
  • Meanwhile Japanese investors sold foreign equities, bringing an end to 4 consecutive weeks of net buying, although net sales were light in absolute terms.
  • Finally, foreign investors ended their run of 6 consecutive weeks of net purchases of Japanese equities.
  • To reiterate, the net flows observed across the 4 major headline metrics were modest in absolute terms.
Latest Week Previous Week 4-Week Rolling Sum
Net Weekly Japanese Flows Into Foreign Bonds (Ybn) 370.8 -820.3 -2685.1
Net Weekly Japanese Flows Into Foreign Stocks (Ybn) -57.4 404.8 1320.2
Net Weekly Foreign Flows Into Japanese Bonds (Ybn) 373.8 -212.9 -1658.6
Net Weekly Foreign Flows Into Japanese Stocks (Ybn) -342.9 78.8 833.2
Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg/Japanese Ministry Of Finance

Historical bullets

JGBS AUCTION: PREVIEW: Japanese MOF to sell JGBs with 5-15.5 Years until maturity in liquidity enhancement

Apr-19 02:26

The Japanese Ministry of Finance (MOF) will today sell Y500bn of JGBs with 5-15.5 Years until maturity in a liquidity enhancement auction. JB#1-27, #95-162 & #347-365 will be on offer.

  • The previous enhanced liquidity auction covering these maturities was held on March 15. The auction saw Y498.9bn issued and was covered 3.870x at an average spread of +0.014%, and a high spread of +0.015%, with 78.1838% of the bids allotted at the high spread.
  • Results due at 0435GMT/1235JST.

CNH: Offshore Yuan Slips, Covid Keeps Haunting China

Apr-19 01:57

Spot USD/CNH has added 45 pips so far amid continued Covid-19 worry & the prospect of looser policy in China. The rate deals at CNH6.3820.

  • Looking ahead, monthly Loan Prime Rate fixing is due tomorrow, with majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg expecting reductions of 1-year & 5-year rates.
  • Note that on Monday the PBOC unveiled a list of 23 measures to support individuals and small businesses affected by the renewed outbreak of Covid-19.
  • Daily infections show no convincing signs of easing, with Shanghai's case count holding above 20k despite drastic containment measures. The steel hub of Tangshan locked down 5 districts again amid repeated flare-up of infections.
  • Bulls look for a jump above Apr 14 high of CNH6.3958 before targeting Mar 28 high/200-DMA at CNH6.3983/6.4014. Bears would be pleased by a retreat under Apr 13 low of CNH6.3707.

JPY: Yen Still In Retreat Even As Official Rhetoric On Its Depreciation Grows Firmer

Apr-19 01:41

The yen has largely shrugged off further escalation of attempts to jawbone it off multi-decade lows and remains the worst G10 performer.

  • FinMin Suzuki warned that the yen has been weakening rapidly which sees officials monitor FX markets with a strong sense of vigilance. He added that yen weakness has strong negative aspects in the current climate (emphasis added to highlight newly strengthened rhetoric).
  • These remarks have failed to arrest yen depreciation, with USD/JPY staging another upswing once Suzuki's comments were digested.
  • The rate last sits at Y127.53, up 53 pips on the day. A further rally above the 3.764 proj of the Dec 3 '21 - Jan 4 - 24 price swing at Y127.71 and May 17, 2002 high of Y128.15 would bring the psychologically important Y130.00 figure into view.