MNI DATA FORECASTS: Fireworks Expected Ahead Of US Jobs Report
Jun-30 16:07By: Les Commons
Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing July 2.
| Date | GMT/Local | Impact | Period | Flag | Country | Release | Prior | Consensus | |
| 03/07/2023 | 2300/0900 | ** | Jun |  | AU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 48.6 | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 2350/0850 | *** | Q2 |  | JP | Major mfg diffusion index | 1 | 3 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 2350/0850 | *** | Q2 |  | JP | Major non-mfg DI | 20 | 22 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0030/0930 | ** | Jun |  | JP | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 49.8 | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0130/1130 | * | Jul |  | AU | Total Dwellings Approved m/m | -8.1 | 3.0 | % |
| 03/07/2023 | 0130/1130 | ** | Jul |  | AU | New Home Loans m/m | -3.8 | -- | % |
| 03/07/2023 | 0145/0945 | ** | Jun |  | CN | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | -- | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0630/0830 | *** | Jun |  | CH | CPI m/m | 0.3 | 0.2 | % |
| 03/07/2023 | 0630/0830 | *** | Jun |  | CH | CPI y/y | 2.2 | 1.9 | % |
| 03/07/2023 | 0700/0300 | * | Jun |  | TR | CPI m/m | 0.04 | 4.6 | % |
| 03/07/2023 | 0715/0915 | ** | Jun |  | ES | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 48.4 | 47.9 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0745/0945 | ** | Jun |  | IT | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 45.9 | 45.4 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0750/0950 | ** | Jun |  | FR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 45.5 | 45.5 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0755/0955 | ** | Jun |  | DE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 41.0 | 41.0 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0800/1000 | ** | Jun |  | EU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 43.6 | 43.6 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 0830/0930 | ** | Jun |  | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 46.2 | 46.2 | |
| 03/07/2023 | - | *** | Jun |  | US | NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR | -- | -- | (m) |
| 03/07/2023 | 1345/0945 | *** | Jun |  | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) | 46.9 | 46.9 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Man. Employment Index | 51.4 | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Manufacturing Index | 46.9 | 47.1 | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 42.6 | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices Index | 44.2 | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | * | May |  | US | Construction Spending m/m | 1.2 | 0.4 | % |
| 03/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | * | 07-Jul |  | US | Bid to Cover Ratio | -- | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1530/1130 | * | 07-Jul |  | US | Bid to Cover Ratio | -- | -- | |
| 03/07/2023 | 1530/1130 | * | 07-Jul |  | US | Bid to Cover Ratio | -- | -- | |
| 04/07/2023 | 0430/1430 | *** |  | AU | Interest Rate | 4.1 | 4.1 | % | |
| 04/07/2023 | 0430/1430 | *** |  | AU | Interest Rate Change | 0.25 | 0 | % | |
| 04/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | May |  | DE | Trade balance exports m/m | 1.2 | 0.4 | % |
| 04/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | May |  | DE | Trade balance imports m/m | -1.7 | 0.1 | % |
| 04/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | May |  | DE | Trade balance m/m | 18.4 | 17.0 | E (b) |
| 05/07/2023 | 2300/0900 | * | Jun |  | AU | S&P Global Services PMI (f) | 50.7 | -- | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0030/0930 | ** | Jun |  | JP | S&P Global Services PMI (f) | 54.2 | -- | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0145/0945 | ** | Jun |  | CN | IHS Markit Services PMI (f) | -- | -- | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0645/0845 | * | May |  | FR | Industrial Production m/m | 0.8 | -- | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0645/0845 | * | May |  | FR | Industrial Production y/y | 1.3 | 0.6 | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0645/0845 | * | May |  | FR | Manufacturing Prod m/m | 0.7 | -- | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0645/0845 | * | May |  | FR | Manufacturing Prod y/y | 2.1 | -- | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0700/0900 | ** | May |  | ES | Industrial Production y/y | 0.9 | -0.4 | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0715/0915 | ** | Jun |  | ES | S&P Global Services PMI | 56.7 | 55.8 | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0745/0945 | ** | Jun |  | IT | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.0 | 53.4 | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0750/0950 | ** | Jun |  | FR | S&P Global Services PMI (f) | 48.0 | 48.0 | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0755/0955 | ** | Jun |  | DE | S&P Global Services PMI (f) | 54.1 | 54.1 | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0800/1000 | ** | Jun |  | EU | S&P Global Services PMI (f) | 52.4 | 52.4 | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0830/0930 | ** | Jun |  | UK | S&P Global Services PMI (f) | 53.7 | 53.7 | |
| 05/07/2023 | 0900/1100 | ** | May |  | EU | PPI m/m | -3.2 | -1.7 | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0900/1100 | ** | May |  | EU | PPI y/y | 1.0 | -1.4 | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 0900/1000 | ** | 07-Jul |  | UK | Bid to Cover Ratio | -- | -- | |
| 05/07/2023 | 1255/0855 | ** | 01-Jul |  | US | Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) | 0.6 | -- | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 1255/0855 | ** | 01-Jul |  | US | Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) | 0.5 | -- | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | ** | Jul |  | US | IBD/TIPP Optimism Index | 41.7 | -- | |
| 05/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | ** | May |  | US | Factory New Orders | 0.4 | 0.6 | % |
| 05/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | ** | May |  | US | Factory Orders ex-transport | -0.2 | -- | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 0130/1130 | ** | Jul |  | AU | Trade Balance | 11158.0 | 10700 | AUD (m) |
| 06/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | May |  | DE | Manufacturing Orders m/m | -0.4 | -- | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 0730/0930 | ** | Jun |  | EU | IHS Markit Construction PMI | -- | -- | |
| 06/07/2023 | 0830/0930 | ** | Jun |  | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 51.6 | 51.0 | |
| 06/07/2023 | 0900/1100 | ** | May |  | EU | Retail Sales m/m | 0.0 | 0.2 | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 0900/1100 | ** | May |  | EU | Retail Sales y/y wda | -2.6 | -2.6 | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 1100/0700 | ** | 30-Jun |  | US | MBA Mortgage Applications w/w | 3.0 | -- | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 1215/0815 | *** | Jun |  | US | ADP Private Payrolls | 278 | 250 | (k) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 01-Jul |  | US | Continuing Claims | 1742 | -- | (k) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 01-Jul |  | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 239 | 248 | (k) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 01-Jul |  | US | Prev Continuing Claims, Rev | -- | -- | (k) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 01-Jul |  | US | Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev | -- | -- | (k) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | May |  | CA | Prev Trade Balance, Rev | -- | -- | CAD (b) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | May |  | CA | Trade Balance | -74.6 | -62.8 | CAD (b) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | May |  | US | Wholesale Inventories m/m | -0.1 | -- | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | May |  | US | Wholesale Sales m/m | 0.2 | -- | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 1345/0945 | *** | Jun |  | US | S&P Global Services Index (f) | 54.1 | -- | |
| 06/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Services Employment Index | 49.2 | -- | |
| 06/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Services Index | 50.3 | 51.3 | |
| 06/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Services New Orders | -- | -- | |
| 06/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | *** | Jun |  | US | ISM Services Prices Index | 56.2 | -- | |
| 06/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | ** | May |  | US | JOLTS job openings level | 10103.0 | -- | (k) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | ** | May |  | US | JOLTS quits rate | 2.4 | -- | % |
| 06/07/2023 | 1500/1100 | ** | 30-Jun |  | US | Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w | -9.603 | -- | bbl (m) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1500/1100 | ** | 30-Jun |  | US | Distillate Stocks w/w change | 0.123 | -- | bbl (m) |
| 06/07/2023 | 1500/1100 | ** | 30-Jun |  | US | Gasoline Stocks w/w change | 0.603 | -- | bbl (m) |
| 07/07/2023 | 0545/0745 | ** | Jun |  | CH | Unemployment Rate | 2.0 | 2.0 | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0545/0745 | ** | Jun |  | CH | Unemployment m/m | -2.7 | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0545/0745 | ** | Jun |  | CH | Unemployment y/y | -10.1 | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | May |  | DE | Industrial Production m/m | 0.3 | 0.0 | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | Jun |  | NO | GDP Mainland m/m | -0.4 | 0.4 | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | Jun |  | NO | GDP m/m | -0.3 | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0600/0800 | ** | Jun |  | SE | Private Sector Production | -- | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0645/0845 | * | May |  | FR | Foreign Trade | -9.710 | -- | E (b) |
| 07/07/2023 | 0800/1000 | * | May |  | IT | Retail Sales m/m | 0.2 | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 0800/1000 | * | May |  | IT | Retail Sales y/y nsa | 3.2 | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | CA | Employment | -17.3 | -- | (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | CA | Unemployment Rate | 5.2 | -- | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | US | Average Hourly Earnings, m/m | 0.3 | 0.3 | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | US | Average Workweek, All Workers | 34.3 | 34.3 | hrs |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | US | Nonfarm Payrolls | 339.0 | 200 | (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | US | Prev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev | 294.0 | -- | (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | US | Private Payrolls | 283.0 | 193 | (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | *** | Jun |  | US | Unemployment Rate | 3.7 | 3.7 | % |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 06-Jul |  | US | Corn Net Sales | 140.4 | -- | MT (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 06-Jul |  | US | Corn Weekly Exports | 605.3 | -- | MT (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 06-Jul |  | US | Soy Net Sales | 227.4 | -- | MT (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 06-Jul |  | US | Soy Weekly Exports | 191.0 | -- | MT (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 06-Jul |  | US | Wheat Net Sales | 155.2 | -- | MT (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1230/0830 | ** | 06-Jul |  | US | Wheat Weekly Exports | 157.6 | -- | MT (k) |
| 07/07/2023 | 1400/1000 | * | Jun |  | CA | Ivey PMI (SA) | 53.5 | -- | |
| 07/07/2023 | 1430/1030 | ** | 30-Jun |  | US | Natural Gas Stocks w/w | 76.0 | -- | Bcf |
