We see the Bank Indonesia on Hold at its December meeting in what is a close call given:
- USDIDR has traded within a tight range since the last Central Bank meeting as per BI's focus.
- The transmission mechanism needs more time to allow the prior cuts to flow through to broader economy.
- Activity data has improved with PMIs highest since February.
- Last week's decision by the FOMC to cut rates reduces any perceived urgency to cut.