US DATA: GDPNow Lifted With PCE Tracking Highest Since Early March
Apr-16 15:40
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for Q1 real GDP growth has been revised up to -2.17% annualized from -2.42% in the Apr 9 update.
The gold-adjusted alternative model was nudged up from -0.3% to -0.1%, offering a better readthrough to what might actually be reported by the BEA by stripping out monetary gold transfers.
The upward revision was primarily driven by today’s retail sales and IP data for March, with the details suggesting an intra-update estimate of -0.5% for gold-adjusted after yesterday’s international price data.
Indeed, tracking for personal consumption expenditure growth was revised up from 0.7% to 1.4%. That’s still a marked moderation in activity after 3.9% annualized in 2H24 or 3.1% Y/Y in Q4, and it would be the softest quarter since 2Q23, but it’s nevertheless the strongest Q1 tracking since Mar 7 in very early days for Q1 tracking.
Questions remain as to how much tariff front-running there was in March although we noted after retail sales earlier that food services & drinking places saw an encouraging rebound after recessionary signs back in February.
US STOCKS: Midday Equities Roundup: Chip-Maker Curbs Weighing on IT
Apr-16 15:39
Stocks are paring early losses ahead midday, the DJIA outperforming S&P eminis and Nasdaq indexes at the moment, Oil & Gas shares leading gainers as crude prices gained (WTI +1.35 at 62.68).
Currently, the DJIA trades down 32.7 points (-0.08%) at 40338.31, S&P E-Minis down 40 points (-0.74%) at 5388.5, Nasdaq down 264.3 points (-1.6%) at 16560.98.
Leading oil and gas shares include APA +3.96%, Devon Energy +3.58%, Marathon Petroleum +3.21%, Diamondback Energy +3.01% and Occidental Petroleum +2.65%.
Other gainers included Abbott Laboratories +5.36%, Mosaic +4.55% and Travelers +4.14%.
On the flipside, Information Technology sector shares were weighed down by Pres Trumps chip maker curbs: NVIDIA -6.93%, Advanced Micro Devices -5.96%, KLA -4.88%, Omnicom Group and Applied Materials both -4.50%.
FED: US TSY 17W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.225%(ALLOT 60.26%)
Apr-16 15:32
US TSY 17W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.225%(ALLOT 60.26%)
US TSY 17W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 38.81% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 17W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 1.61% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 17W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 59.57% OF COMPETITIVES