US-RUSSIA: Memo Suggests Potential Return To Dollar System - Bloomberg

Feb-12 14:19

Bloomberg reports on a internal Russian document, which includes excerpts on "Russia’s return to the dollar settlement system, including possibly for Russian energy transactions".

Highlights from the report:

  • "The Kremlin has set out proposals that could see Russia embrace the dollar again as part of a wide-ranging economic partnership with the Trump administration, according to an internal Russian document reviewed by Bloomberg."
  • "The high-level memo, which was drafted this year, details seven points where, in the Kremlin’s view, Russian and US economic interests could converge following a deal to end the war in Ukraine. It sees the two countries working together to champion fossil fuels over greener alternatives as well as joint investments in natural gas, offshore oil and critical raw materials plus windfalls for US companies."
  • "At the heart of the offer is Russia’s return to the dollar settlement system, a move which would mean a stunning reversal of Kremlin policy and, potentially, a dramatic shake up for global finance."

Historical bullets

EGB SYNDICATION: Greece 10-year 3.375% Jun-36: Priced

Jan-13 14:18
  • Reoffer price/yield: 99.196 / 3.470
  • Size: E4bln (in line with MNI expectation)
  • Books closed in excess of E49.5bln (inc E2.05bln JLM interest). Record for a GGB syndication - previously the E40.5bln in last year's 10-year)
  • Spread set at MS+58bps (guidance was MS +60/65bps area then revised to MS+60bps area)
  • HR: 99% vs 2.90% Feb-36 Bund
  • Coupon: 3.375% Short first
  • Maturity: 16 June 2036
  • ISIN: GR0124042764
  • Bookrunners: BNP / BofA / DB (B&D/DM) / GSBE SE / JPM / MS
  • Settlement: 20 January 2026 (T+5)
  • Timing: Priced 1403GMT / 1503CET. FTT Immediately.

From market source / MNI colour

US DATA: Freight CPI Tumbles In Dec But Relatively Small Impact On Core CPI

Jan-13 14:00
  • Well within the CPI details, “moving, storage, freight expense” looks particularly suspect in a report where data quality/methodology is acutely in focus.
  • It slumped -14.3% M/M on a seasonally adjusted basis after an average monthly decline of -1.0% M/M in the previous two months.
  • For context, this dragged -0.02pps from monthly core CPI, which came in at 0.24% M/M vs median unrounded expectations of 0.35% M/M.
  • The category sits within household operations, in turn within core services.
image

CANADA DATA: Nov Building Permits -13% Vs Prior +15%

Jan-13 13:59
  • Residential construction -12%, led by multi-family projects in Ontario, StatsCan says Tues.
  • November non-residential permits -15%.
  • YOY permits -0.5%.