LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-27 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
27-Nov745FRConsumer Sentiment
27-Nov930DEGFK Consumer Climate
27-Nov1800EUECB's Lane remarks on "Macroeconomic modelling frontiers"
28-Nov EUEuropean Central Bank Meeting
28-Nov800ESHICP (p)
28-Nov900EUM3
28-Nov900ITISTAT Business Confidence
28-Nov900ITISTAT Consumer Confidence
28-Nov900ITPPI
28-Nov900DENorth Rhine Westphalia / Bavaria CPI
28-Nov1000EUEZ Economic Sentiment Indicator
28-Nov1000EUConsumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
28-Nov1300DEHICP (p)
28-Nov1700EUECB's Lane speech at the 25th anniversary of Euro 50 Group at Banque de France

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Oct-28 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
28-Oct1945EUECB's De Guindos speech and Q&A at Foros Reflexión
29-Oct700DEGFK Consumer Climate
30-Oct630FRConsumer Spending / GDP (p)
30-Oct700DEGDP (p)
30-Oct800ESHICP (p) / GDP (p)
30-Oct855DEUnemployment
30-Oct900ITGDP (p) / PPI
30-Oct900DENorth Rhine Westphalia/ Bavaria CPI
30-Oct1000EUEMU Preliminary Flash GDP 
30-Oct1000EUEZ Economic Sentiment Indicator
30-Oct1000EUConsumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
30-Oct1300DEHICP (p)
30-Oct1500EUECB's Schnabel speech at SAFE-CEPR conference
31-Oct700DERetail Sales/ Import/Export Prices
31-Oct745FRHICP (p) / PPI
31-Oct1000EUHICP (p) / Unemployment
31-Oct1000ITHICP (p)

GBPUSD TECHS: Bear Cycle Still In Play

Oct-28 06:17
  • RES 4: 1.3389 High Oct 1   
  • RES 3: 1.3274 High Oct 3  and the bull trigger
  • RES 2: 1.3175 High Oct 4 
  • RES 1: 1.2998/3071 High Oct 25 / 50-day EMA
  • PRICE: 1.2955 @ 06:16 BST Oct 28
  • SUP 1: 1.2908 Low Oct 23
  • SUP 2: 1.2890 Low Aug 18 
  • SUP 3: 1.2846 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Sep 25 bull leg
  • SUP 4: 1.2799 Low Aug 15 

A bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs in GBPUSD remains intact and the pair is trading closer to its recent lows. The move down last week resulted in a breach of 1.2959, the 61.8% retracement of the Aug 8 - Sep 25 bull leg. An extension lower would open 1.2890, the Aug 18 low. On the upside, initial resistance to watch is 1.3071, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of this EMA is required to signal a reversal.

BOBL TECHS: (Z4) Support Remains Exposed

Oct-28 06:12
  • RES 4: 120.190 High Oct 3   
  • RES 3: 119.875 61.8% retracement of the Oct 1 - 10 bear leg      
  • RES 2: 119.635 50.0% retracement of the Oct 1 - 10 bear leg     
  • RES 1: 119.330/119.620 High Oct 24 / 18 and key resistance points                        
  • PRICE: 118.750 @ 05:56 BST Oct 28 
  • SUP 1: 118.620 Low Oct 10 and the bear trigger         
  • SUP 2: 118.580 Low Sep 3 and a key support
  • SUP 3: 118.00 Round number support   
  • SUP 4: 117.789 123.6% retrace projection of the Sep 3 - Oct 1 bull leg   

Recent gains in Bobl futures are considered corrective. The latest pullback from the Oct 18 high highlights a continued bearish threat. Key support at 118.620, the Oct 10 low, remains exposed. A break would confirm a resumption of the downtrend that started Oct 1 and open 118.580, the Sep 3 low and a key support. Initial firm resistance has been defined at 119.330, the Oct 24 high.