NATGAS: Leviathan Gas Supply Deal Potential ‘Game Changer’ For Egypt: Platts

Aug-08 18:09

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Egypt's natural gas supply agreement for 130 Bcm over 15 years with partners in Israel's Leviathan f...

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US TSYS: June FOMC Minutes React

Jul-09 18:04
  • Treasury futures holding near recent session highs after June FOMC minutes released - relating risk of persistent tariff-related inflation pass through.
  • Currently, Sep'25 10Y trades +13 at 111-06 (110-23.5L / 111-07.5H), resistance to watch is at 111-28, the Jul 3 high.
  • Curves mixed: 2s10s -2.470 at 47.984; 5s30s +0.465 at 95.648.
  • USD mildly higher, Bbg index BBDXY +0.47 at 1197.11 vs. 1195.65 high.

FED: Instant Answers: Well Positioned To Wait For More Clarity - Minutes

Jul-09 18:00
  • Did any participant mention a potential scenario where rates would need to rise from current levels? NO. "Regarding upside risks to inflation, participants noted that, if the imposition of tariffs were to generate a larger-than-expected increase in inflation, if such an increase in inflation were to be more persistent than anticipated, or if a notable increase in medium- or longer-term inflation expectations were to occur, then it would be appropriate to maintain a more restrictive stance of monetary policy than would otherwise be the case, especially if labor market conditions and economic activity remained solid."
  • Did staff or participants discuss the idea of lowering the ON RRP rate relative to the fed funds rate? NO
  • Did any participant mention changing the IORB rate independently of changes to the fed funds rate? NO

MNI: FED MINUTES: WELL POSITIONED TO WAIT FOR CLARITY

Jul-09 18:00
  • MNI: FED MINUTES: WELL POSITIONED TO WAIT FOR CLARITY
  • FED: MOST OFFICIALS SEE 'SOME REDUCTION' IN RATES BY DEC
  • FED: TARIFF INFLATION BOOST MAY BE TEMPORARY, MODEST
  • FED: 'A COUPLE' OFFICIALS COULD SEE CUT AS SOON AS JULY
  • FED: COULD MAINTAIN MORE RESTRICTIVE POLICY IF NEEDED
  • FED: TO DISCUSS SEP, SCENARIOS AFTER FRAMEWORK REVIEW