SONIA: Latest Sonia Options

Apr-25 10:27
  • SFIZ4 95.25/95.50cs vs 95.00/94.75ps, bought the cs for 4.5 in 1k.
  • SFIZ4 94.90/94.80/94.70/94.60p condor bought for 1.5 in 2k.

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: Expiries for Mar26 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

Mar-26 10:22
  • EUR/USD: $1.0785-00(E2.0bln), $1.0860-70(E4.1bln), $1.0925-35(E2.9bln)
  • USD/JPY: Y151.00($529mln), Y151.25($632mln)
  • GBP/USD: $1.2685-00(Gbp983mln)
  • AUD/USD: $0.6500(A$726mln), $0.6545-60(A$3.2bln)
  • AUD/NZD: N$1.0825(A$639mln)
  • NZD/USD: $0.6170(N$695mln)

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (M4) Resistance Remains Intact

Mar-26 10:19
  • RES 4: 112-04+ High Mar 8 and bull trigger
  • RES 3: 111-24 High Mar 12
  • RES 2: 110-31+ 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 110-30+ High Mar 21 & 22
  • PRICE: 110-19+ @ 10:07 GMT Mar 26
  • SUP 1: 110-08+/109-24+ Low Mar 21 / 18 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 109-14+ Low Nov 28
  • SUP 3: 109-12+ 1.764 proj of Dec 27 - Jan 19 - Feb 1 price swing
  • SUP 4: 108-25+ 2.00 proj of Dec 27 - Jan 19 - Feb 1 price swing

Treasuries maintain a softer tone and the latest move higher appears to be a correction. Key short-term resistance to watch is 110-31+, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this average is required to suggest scope for a stronger recovery. Moving average studies remain in a bear-mode position and this continues to highlight a downtrend. On the downside, the bear trigger is unchanged at 109-24+.

USD: Some selling emerging

Mar-26 10:18
  • The Aussie takes its cue from the Risk On tone and test session high against the USD, EUR, JPY.
  • Immediate resistance in AUDUSD is at 0.6567 (50 day EMA).
  • Also worth noting that there is 3.17bn worth of option expiry at 0.6545/0.6560 for today.
  • The Dollar is now testing wider lows, all Equity led.