US STOCKS: Late Equity Roundup: Earnings Round Out Session

Aug-04 18:42

Stock indexes trading mildly weaker ahead the FI close, Nasdaq outperforming, on lighter volumes ahead Fri's July employment data and ongoing earnings releases after the bell. Currently, SPX eminis trades -5.25 (-0.13%) at 4151; DJIA -94.72 (-0.29%) at 32717.48; Nasdaq +21.6 (0.2%) at 12689.82.

  • Earnings releases after the close: Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) $3.514 est, Expedia (EXPE $1.530 est, Corteva Inc (CTVA) $1.479 est, Amgen (AMGN) $4.402 est.
  • SPX leading/lagging sectors: Industrials (+0.53%) narrowly outpaced Utilities and Materials in late trade, both +0.51%, Consumer Discretionary (+0.32%). Laggers: Energy sector continues to underperform (-1.65%), followed by Consumer Staples (-0.81%), Health Care and Financials (-0.44%).
  • Dow Industrials Leaders/Laggers: 3M Co (MMM) +4.78 at 148.27, Visa (V) +4.26 at 212.74, Caterpillar bounces back from Wed selling (CAT) +2.48 at 185.35, Honeywell (HON) +1.14 at 192.64. Laggers: United Health (UNH) -6.80 at 533.85, Walmart (WMT) -4.13 at 126.37, Chevron (CVX) -2.41 at 152.95.

Historical bullets

CANADA: Higher Rates Biting In Vancouver Housing Market

Jul-05 18:34
  • Higher interest rates and supply have seen the Vancouver housing market continue to cool quickly according to the Vancouver Real Estate Board
  • Sales fell -35% Y/Y in June or 23% below the 10-year June average. Lower sales have allowed listings to increase, with the sales-to-listings ratio down to 23.4% from the March peak of 56.9% (historically a sustained <12% leads to downward price pressure, >20% upward).
  • The benchmark home price index dipped 2% M/M although is still up 12.4% Y/Y.

USDJPY TECHS: Path Of Least Resistance Remains Up

Jul-05 18:30
  • RES 4: 140.00 Round number resistance
  • RES 3: 138.56 1.618 proj of the Feb 24 - Mar 28 - 31 price swing
  • RES 2: 137.30 1.50 proj of the Feb 24 - Mar 28 - 31 price swing
  • RES 1: 137.00 High Jun 29 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 135.90 @ 16:09 BST Jul 5
  • SUP 1: 134.27 Low Jun 23
  • SUP 2: 132.17/132.09 Low Jun 17 / Bull channel base from Mar 4 low
  • SUP 3: 131.50 Low Jun 16 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 130.00 Round number support

USDJPY remains inside its recent range. Trend conditions are unchanged though and the uptrend remains firmly intact. A fresh cycle high last week confirmed a resumption of the primary uptrend and this maintains the sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on 137.30, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm support to watch is 134.27, the Jun 23 low. A break would signal scope for a deeper corrective pullback.

US: FED Reverse Repo Usage Lowest In A Month

Jul-05 18:20
  • NY Fed reverse repo usage stepped a little further back to $2,138B from Friday’s $2,167B, hitting the lowest since Jun 7 having pulled back from Thursday’s month and quarter-end driven new record of $2,330B.
  • The number of counterparties also dipped to a more typical 96 from 99 on Friday and 108 on that Thursday high.