Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. Measure Level DoD 5yr UST 3.82% +5bp 10yr UST 4.29% +6bp 5s-10s UST...
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The trend set-up in AUDUSD remains bullish and last week’s gains reinforces current conditions. Resistance at 0.6590 has been pierced. A clear break of this price point would strengthen a bullish condition and confirm a resumption of the uptrend plus maintain the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Scope is seen for a climb towards 0.6603 next, the Nov 11 2024 high. Initial firm support to watch is 0.6487, the 50-day EMA.
SOFR & Treasury options saw better put volume Tuesday, outright and spd, as underlying futures rejected the initial post-CPI rally. Focus turns to Wednesday's June PPI data. Curves hold flatter profiles/well off lows, 2s10s -0.067 at 53.072, projected rate cut pricing continues to soften vs morning/pre-data (*) levels: Jul'25 steady at -0.6bp, Sep'25 at -14.1bp (-15.7bp), Oct'25 at -27.1bp (-29.4bp), Dec'25 at -43.7bp (-46.7bp).