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Aug-14 19:30

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Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. Measure Level DoD 5yr UST 3.82% +5bp 10yr UST 4.29% +6bp 5s-10s UST...

Historical bullets

AUDUSD TECHS: Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat

Jul-15 19:30
  • RES 4: 0.6700 76.4% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Apr 9 bear leg
  • RES 3: 0.6688 High Nov 7 ‘24
  • RES 2: 0.6603 High Nov 11 ‘24
  • RES 1: 0.6595 High Jul 11 
  • PRICE: 0.6515 @ 16:43 BST Jul 15
  • SUP 1: 0.6509 Low Jul 15
  • SUP 2: 0.6487/6373 50-day EMA / Low Jun 23 and a reversal trigger
  • SUP 3: 0.6357 Low May 12
  • SUP 4: 0.6275 Low Apr 14

The trend set-up in AUDUSD remains bullish and last week’s gains reinforces current conditions. Resistance at 0.6590 has been pierced. A clear break of this price point would strengthen a bullish condition and confirm a resumption of the uptrend plus maintain the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Scope is seen for a climb towards 0.6603 next, the Nov 11 2024 high. Initial firm support to watch is 0.6487, the 50-day EMA.     

PIPELINE: Late Corporate Bond Roundup

Jul-15 19:19
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 07/15 $1.5B *Univision Communications 7NC3 9.375% (upsized from $1B)
  • 07/15 $1B *Conagra $500M 5Y +102, $500M 10Y +127
  • 07/15 $1B Aecom 8NC3
  • Expected this week:
  • 07/15 $500M Boots Group 7NC3 (includes GBP & EUR issuance)
  • 07/?? $1.5B Kioxia Holdings 5NC2, 8NC3

US TSYS: Late SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Better Puts Post-CPI, Sites on PPI

Jul-15 19:11

SOFR & Treasury options saw better put volume Tuesday, outright and spd, as underlying futures rejected the initial post-CPI rally. Focus turns to Wednesday's June PPI data. Curves hold flatter profiles/well off lows, 2s10s -0.067 at 53.072, projected rate cut pricing continues to soften vs morning/pre-data (*) levels: Jul'25 steady at -0.6bp, Sep'25 at -14.1bp (-15.7bp), Oct'25 at -27.1bp (-29.4bp), Dec'25 at -43.7bp (-46.7bp).

  • SOFR Options
    • Block/pit, -11,500 SFRU5 95.25/95.75 put spds, 3.5 ref 95.815
    • Block, 5,000 SFRU5 95.68/95.81 2x1 put spds, 4.25
    • Block, -10,000 SFRZ5 96.25/96.50/96.75/97.00 call condors, 4.0 net ref 96.125
    • 1,250 SFRZ5 95.75/95.87/96.25/96.37 call condors
    • Block, +20,000 SFRU5 95.62 puts, cab
    • -16,000 SFRH6 96.00/96.50 put spds 23.75 vs. 96.385/0.30%
    • 10,250 SFRU5 95.81 puts, ref 95.84
    • +2,000 SFRU5 95.87/96.00/96.06/96.18 call condors, 2.75
    • 2,000 SFRU5 95.56/95.68 2x1 put spds ref 95.85
    • +2,500 SFRU5 95.25/95.75 put spds, 3.5
    • +5,000 SFRZ5 95.75/95.87/96.00 put trees, 2
    • 4,000 SFRQ5 95.75/95.81 put spds 
    • Block/screen +14,100 SFRU5 95.62/95.75/95.81/95.87 broken put condors, 0.5 
    • +2,500 SFRU5 96.12/96.37 call spds, 1.25
  • Treasury Options:
    • 13,200 TYV5 108.5 puts, 32 ref 110-08
    • Block, 10,000 TYV5 108/TYX5 107.5 put strip, 54 vs. 110-10/0.20%
    • +10,000 TYV5 113/115 call spds 12
    • Block - adds to below w/ another 18,600 USU5 108 puts, 34-35 with 13,400 at 32 on screen
    • Block, total 22,500 USU5 108 puts, 28-29 vs. 112-09/0.16%
    • 6,500 TYQ5/wk3 TY 110 put spds, 4
    • 5,000 TYQ5 112 calls, 4
    • 2,000 TUQ5 103.25/103.37/103.62/103.75 put condors ref 103-20.38
    • -10,000 TYU5 109.5/112 strangles, 38
    • -2,500 wk3 TY 111.25 calls, 6 vs. 110-24.5/0.25%
    • -2,000 FVQ5 107.75/108 put spds, 6
    • +3,500 TYQ5 109.75 puts, 5 vs. 110-25/0.08%
    • 2,000 TYQ5 111.5 calls, 9 vs. 110-24.5/0.21%
    • -1,000 FVU5 108 straddles, 104.5 vs. 108-04/0.10%
    • +20,000 FVQ5 107.75 puts, 7.5
    • +4,000 Wednesday wkly TY 111.5/111.75 call spds, 1 ref 110-23.5 to -24.5
    • +10,000 TYQ5 112 calls, 4