ECB: Lagarde: Risks to Growth Tilted To Downsidde; Inflation Outlook Uncertain

Jun-05 13:02

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On Growth: * Risks to economic growth remain tilted to the downside. A further escalation in glob...

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MNI: US REDBOOK: APR STORE SALES +6.7% V YR AGO MO

May-06 12:55
  • MNI: US REDBOOK: APR STORE SALES +6.7% V YR AGO MO
  • US REDBOOK: STORE SALES +6.9% WK ENDED MAY 03 V YR AGO WK

EQUITIES: Estoxx put spread

May-06 12:53

SX5E (17th Apr) 3500/3400ps, bought for 5 in 5k.

STIR: TD Securities Recommend Paying EUR 1y1y vs. GBP 1y1y/USD 1y1y.

May-06 12:50

TD Securities see “more room for USD front-end outperformance on a cross-market basis”.

  • They believe that the expected “inflation bump in both the U.S. (H2) and UK (Q3) will be temporary supply- rather than demand-driven.”
  • TD also highlight that “even though the UK's growth dynamics are closer to the Euro area, it still has a stronger beta to U.S. markets”
  • Meanwhile, they expect “the ECB to ease to 1.5% or lower only if global conditions worsen. In that scenario again, it’s more like that the U.S. (or GBP) front-end still outperforms vs. EUR”.
  • As a result, they recommended paying EUR 1y1y vs. GBP 1y1y/USD 1y1y.