AUDUSD TECHS: Key Resistance Remains Intact

Sep-29 06:57
  • RES 4: 0.6630 High Aug 2
  • RES 3: 0.6616 High Aug 16
  • RES 2: 0.6522 High Aug 30 and Sep 1, and the key resistance
  • RES 1: 0.6487 50-day EMA values
  • PRICE: 0.6477 @ 07:56 BST Sep 29
  • SUP 1: 0.6331 Low Sep 27 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 0.6287 2.00 proj of the Jun 16 - Jun 29 - Jul 13 price swing
  • SUP 3: 0.6272 Low Nov 3 2022 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 0.6215 2.236 proj of the Jun 16 - Jun 29 - Jul 13 price swing

AUDUSD reversed course yesterday and the pair is firmer again today. For now, short-term gains are considered corrective and the trend condition remains bearish. This week’s break of support at 0.6365, the Aug 17 low, highlights a resumption of the downtrend and opens 0.6287 next, a Fibonacci projection point. On the upside, key short-term trend resistance to watch is 0.6522, the Aug 30 and Sep 1 high. A break of this level would be bullish.

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: US Emini drifts to session low.

Aug-30 06:53
  • Emini drifts back towards flat on the day, targets a test to 4500.00.
  • Despite the pullback, similar to Estoxx futures, contracts still trade at their highest levels in 2 weeks.
  • Support in VGU3 moves up to 4329.00.

SONIA: Little Changed To A Touch Softer

Aug-30 06:47

SONIA futures are relatively resilient in the wake of the firmer than expected German NRW CPI data, with contracts through the blues running -1.5 to +0.5.

  • Typically light volume, in line with the norms for this time of the day.
  • Lower tier local data, in the form of credit and money supply, present the highlight of a limited local docket on Wednesday.

EURIBOR: Softer Post-NRW CPI

Aug-30 06:40

The Euribor strip is lower in the wake of the NRW CPI data but has stabilised off of initial reaction lows.

  • The strip runs 2.0-6.0bp cheaper through the blues.
  • The back end of the whites and front end of the reds lead the move, while the blues lag during the sell off.
  • Regional German CPI data will continue to filter out ahead of the preliminary national release this afternoon, with preliminary Spanish CPI also due.