Positive expectations around the IB & trading. Elsewhere expectations are behind peers and possibly ...
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TYM5 threatens a clean break through Friday’s high (111-11+) on the back of the wider risk-off flow flagged elsewhere. More meaningful resistance located just above at the March 5 high (111-15). Yields now 8.0-11.5bp lower on the day, 5s still outperform.
Fresh pressure for equities here as S&P 500 e-mini futures break below Friday’s base. Nothing new in terms of headline flow, with single-stock news out of Europe and continued U.S. growth worry cited as the most meaningful drivers on the day.
The trend needle in USDJPY points south and today’s bearish start to the week reinforces current conditions. The move down has resulted in a breach of 146.95, 61.8% of the Sep 16 ‘24 - Jan 10 bull leg. Sights are on 145.92, the Oct 4 2024 low. Moving average studies remain in a bear-mode set-up, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key short-term resistance is 151.30, the Mar 3 high. Clearance of this level is required to signal a base.