The Eurozone September flash inflation print is due on Wednesday morning, with data from Germany, France and Italy coming on Tuesday.
Spain and Belgium released flash data Monday morning. Headline inflation is expected to rise across the four major economies, culminating in a 2.2% Y/Y median for the Eurozone-wide print (vs 2.0% prior). Core inflation is expected to be steady at 2.3% Y/Y.
Across categories, the main driver in September will be the yearly rate of energy picking up to around –0.4% Y/Y (median of analyst previews MNI has seen) from –2.0% in August on the back of base effects. Meanwhile, the recent downtrend in services inflation is expected to temporarily halt with a small uptick to 3.2% Y/Y (vs 3.1% in August).
Core goods are seen marginally lower than last month at 0.6%-0.7% Y/Y (vs 0.8% prior), albeit with uncertainty around the impact of seasonality and weight changes relative to 2024. Analysts generally expect little change in food, alcohol and tobacco inflation at around 3.2%.