CZECHIA: Inflation Beat Supports Consensus Call For On-Hold Rate Decision
Nov-05 08:26
- Preliminary data for October showed that headline inflation quickened to +2.5% Y/Y from +2.3%, defying consensus call for a steady pace of price growth. In sequential terms, prices rose by 0.5% M/M, exceeding Bloomberg median estimate of +0.3%. Services inflation closely tracked by the CNB inched lower to +4.6% Y/Y from +4.7% in the previous month, while goods inflation accelerated materially to +1.3% Y/Y from +0.8%. This cements the case for another on-hold decision from the CNB tomorrow, in line with a unanimous consensus call.
- Controversial SPD leader Tomio Okamura is expected to be elected Speaker of the Chamber of Deputies today after being nominated by his party's three-way coalition with ANO and Motorists. The vote will be held by secret ballot, which leaves a margin of uncertainty and will be an important early test of discipline among coalition MPs, with the opposition urging them to defect. Lawmakers will also elect Deputy Speakers, whose number was reduced to four.
- Chief of the General Staff Karel Řehka said he would step down after his contract expires in August 2026. His successor will be appointed by the President on the advice of the government.
- Environment Minister Petr Hladík said that Czechia won a series of concessions in negotiations over the EU's 2040 climate targets but still voted against the deal.
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SONIA OPTIONS: Put Spread, Spread
Oct-06 08:20
SFIF6 96.20/96.10ps vs 0NF6 96.30/96.20ps, bought the front for half in 5k.
FRANCE: Lecornu Resigns After Naming Largely Unchanged Government
Oct-06 08:13
French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has presented his resignation to President Emanuel Macron after a broadly unchanged government Lecornu named on Sunday evening was criticised by party leaders from both the right and the left. Bloomberg reports that Lecornu will deliver press remarks in Paris at 10:45 CET, 09:45 BST, 04:45 ET.
- Politico described Lecornu's government as "a sign that the political forces represented in Macron's successive administrations remain broadly the same, despite Lecornu's being the French president's fifth prime minister in less than two years.”
- Lecornu’s resignation comes after a Friday move to rule out using Article 49.3 of the French constitution to pass a budget without a parliamentary vote, and a parallel bid to agree on a ‘non-aggression pact’ between competing parties failed to ease concerns with Socialists.
- Le Monde reports, “Over the weekend, Lecornu sent a letter to the leaders of Macron's centrist camp and LR pleading for unity. "With only a very narrow majority, the government will have to make compromises with other political groups, without abandoning its convictions.”
- Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure said this morning, "The prevailing sentiment is one of dismay ... The reality is that we are witnessing an unprecedented political crisis."
- National Rally President Jordan Bardella said, "There can be no return to stability without a return to the polls and without the dissolution of the Assemblée Nationale,"
- Mathilde Panot of the leftist Insoumise party wrote on X, “we demand the immediate examination of the motion filed by 104 deputies for the impeachment of Emmanuel Macron.”
GOLD: Heading towards $4000.00
Oct-06 08:10
- Despite the Dollar Bid, Gold is still acting as a much better Safer Haven, at a new all time record high, next projection comes at $3987.3 - 2.236 proj of the May 15 - Jun 16 - 30 price swing.
- But the Globe will be fixated on the big Psychological $4000.00 round number.
