IDR: BI Says It Let Rupiah Strengthen As USD/IDR Approaches 15,000

Sep-20 08:17

Spot USD/IDR finished the session -88 pips at 15,150, printing its worst levels since mid-2023 in the overnight session. The key bearish target is provided by the psychologically significant 15,000 threshold. 1-month NDFs trade -35 at 15,170 as teh 15,000 figure is clearly in sight.

  • Bank Indonesia's Executive Director for Monetary Management Edi Susianto said that the central bank was letting the rupiah appreciate and refrained intervening today. He commented that the rupiah was strengthening in line with regional peers, following the Fed's 50bp cut and BI's 25bp cut earlier this week. According to Susianto, Bank Indonesia believes that current USD/IDR volatility is manageable.

Historical bullets

US OUTLOOK/OPINION: Preliminary Payrolls Revision To Be Taken With Caution

Aug-21 08:17
  • Released today at 1000ET, there are broad expectations for the  preliminary annual payrolls benchmark revision to imply large downward revisions to nonfarm payrolls growth through the 4 quarters to March 2024.
  • We've seen estimates of at least 500k with a central guess perhaps at 600k, but historical upward revisions to the underlying QCEW data and their  potential to undercount undocumented labor could see larger downward  revisions faded unless there is a particularly large surprise.
  • Instead, we feel risk to market pricing is on a smaller preliminary downward revision. See more at the following link: https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/66029/USPrelimBenchmark2024Preview.pdf

EFSF ISSUANCE: RfP for Syndication Sent

Aug-21 08:09

“Today, EFSF, the European Financial Stability Facility has sent a Request for Proposal to a selection of banks from the EFSF/ESM Market Group with regards to an upcoming transaction, subject to market conditions.”

MNI expect a syndication to be held next week but don't have a strong view surrounding what will be on offer.

SONIA: Call Ladder trades for more

Aug-21 08:03

SFIH5 96.00/96.25/96.50c ladder bought for 0.25 in 5.5k total.