US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (H6) Trend Needle Points South

Jan-29 11:12
  • RES 4: 112-31   High Dec 18 and key short-term resistance
  • RES 3: 112-22   High Jan 7 
  • RES 2: 112-09+ 50-day EMA 
  • RES 1: 112-00   20-day EMA
  • PRICE:‌‌ 111-20+ @ 11:02 GMT Jan 29
  • SUP 1: 111-09   Low Jan 10 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 111-00   Round number support
  • SUP 3: 110-30+ 1.618 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 5 - 25 price swing  
  • SUP 4: 110-22+ 1.764 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 5 - 25 price swing

A bear threat in Treasuries remains intact and short-term gains are considered corrective. Initial firm resistance to watch is at the 20-day EMA, currently at 112-00. The 50-day EMA is at 112-09+. The area between the 20- and 50-day averages represents a key resistance zone. For bears, a resumption of weakness would refocus attention on the bear trigger at 111-09, the Jan 10 low.  A break of this level resumes the downtrend.

Historical bullets

SONIA OPTIONS: SFIG6 96.45/55/65 Call Fly Sold Out

Dec-30 10:57

{SFIG6 96.45/55/65 call fly 1K given at 1.25, desks suggest looks like closing out of an existing position.

EGB OPTIONS: RXH6 127.50/125.00 1x2 Put Spread Lifted

Dec-30 10:55

RXH6 127.50/125.00 1x2 put spread paper paid 49 on 2K (vs. 127.60) on 2K.

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - EUROSTOXX Trend Set-Up Remains Bullish

Dec-30 10:47
  • In the equity space, the recent pullback in S&P E-Minis has been a correction. A key short-term support has been defined at 6771.50, the Dec 18 low. A break of this level is required to signal scope for a deeper retracement and would highlight a possible short-term reversal. For bulls, sights are on key resistance at 7014.00, the Oct 30 high. Clearance of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the primary uptrend.
  • A bull cycle in EUROSTOXX 50 futures remains intact and the latest pullback appears to have been a correction. The first key support to watch lies at 5691.88, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of the EMA would highlight a potential short-term reversal. This would open 5622.00, the Nov 26 low. For bulls, sights are on key resistance at 5847.00, the Nov 13 high. The price pattern on Dec 18 is a bullish engulfing candle - a reversal signal.