NBP: Governor Vows To Increase Share Of Gold In Reserves, Cooperate With New Gov't

Feb-08 14:21

NBP Governor Adam Glapinski begins his press conference by announcing the Management Board's decision to increase the share of gold in the central bank's reserves to 20% from the current 12.6%. This is in line with the Governor's earlier suggestions amid attempts to increase the international credibility of Poland and its central bank

  • The Governor reiterates that he will try to cooperate with the new government, or any future government, in a smooth manner. He says that the NBP will not do anything that could threaten this cooperation and notes that he will not take any questions on this matter.

Historical bullets

SONIA: Highest option volumes since September

Jan-09 14:16
  • SFIM4 95.45/95.55/95.65/95.75c condor, bought for 1 again for another 1k, was bought for 8.5k earlier.
  • These are the best volumes in Sonia Options since the 21st September.

SONIA: Upside option structures dominate

Jan-09 14:10

SONIA options have been active today, with the majority of trades targeting upside structures, via Flies and condors.

  • SFIM4 95.35/95.45/95.55c fly, now bought for 1 and 1.25 in 35.45k total.

US: Speaker Johnson Faces Conservative Rebellion Over FY24 Deal

Jan-09 14:04

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) indicated to reporters yesterday that he has softened his formerly concrete opposition to another Continuing Resolution (CR) to avoid a government shutdown on Jan 20.

  • Johnson’s pivot comes amid a potential conservative mutiny over a lack of cuts in the FY2024 topline spending deal Johnson negotiated with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY).
  • Top GOP appropriator Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) warned that a CR will likely be required due to the time squeeze: “...time is ticking away very rapidly, and I am concerned that we have an awful lot of work to do prior to Jan. 19...”
  • Conventional wisdom states that a government shutdown in an election year would be negative for the GOP but whether Johnson can successfully navigate a CR without prompting the same rebellion which led to the ouster of his predecessor Kevin McCarthy is unclear.
  • A Republican lawmaker (notably not a Freedom Caucus member), told Punchbowl News: “As much as there was valid criticism and frustration with [McCarthy], [Johnson] is struggling to grow into the job and is just getting rolled even more than McCarthy did.”
  • Note: Johnson would have to legislate a CR via suspension – the same mechanism McCarthy used to legislate his CR with a bipartisan majority.
  • The House Rules Committee will meet today 16:00 ET 21:00 GMT. Comments following the meeting may indicate if conservatives will be open to a CR.
  • More analysis in today's edition of the MNI US Daily Brief.