CROSS ASSET: GBP and EUR edge to session highs

Feb-02 07:33
  • The Dollar leans in the red going into the European session, weighted by the recovery in Equities Yesterday and into the overnight session.
  • Estoxx futures (VGH4) gaped higher to print another new contract overnight, and although off its best level going into the Cash Govie open, the contract is still up 35 points.
  • In the US, Emini is just 6 points off its contract high, printed Yesterday at 4963.75.
  • Overall the USD is down across G10s over a 5 days period, and today, AUD is the best performer, up 0.37%, aided by the recovery in Risk.
  • The Greenback now test intraday low against the GBP, EUR, and resistance in Cable is seen towards 1.2775 High Jan 24.

Historical bullets

BONDS: Light Pressure As London Comes Online

Jan-03 07:25

Little in the way of meaningful headline flow apparent as Bunds and TY futures slip to fresh session lows.

  • Bund futures haven’t tested Tuesday’s low, while TY has probed its own Tuesday base.
  • Cash Tsys were closed in Asia-Pac hours, with Japan out on holiday until tomorrow. They sit ~3bp lower across the curve in early London dealing.
  • A quick reminder that a brisk start for ’24 IG issuance, oil market swings, geopolitical issues and a reassessment of the year-end rally all factored into bond trading on Tuesday.

BUNDS: Pushing lower since the Cash open

Jan-03 07:22
  • A Very light and tight range session in Bund and also seen across the Euribor strip, with just around 500 lots traded in each expiries pre Bund cash open.
  • Bund was quoted two ticks wide going into the cash open, but drifting lower in low volumes since.
  • Support comes at 136.25, Yesterday's low, while better is seen at the 135.81 area.
  • Resistance moves down to 137.14/137.17 initially.
  • Today sees, Spanish and German employment, and out of the US, ISM Mfg and JOLTS.
  • FOMC Minutes are also due but unlikely to be a mover, with near term focus squarely on Data releases.
  • SUPPLY: German EU4.5bn Schatz 2yr (equates to 42.9k Schatz) should weigh into the bidding deadline.
  • SYNDICATION: Slovenia 10yr Benchmark.

STIR: SFRH4 Given

Jan-03 07:16

SFRH4 activity continues, with ~6K now given at 94.955.