OPTIONS: Expiries for Aug18 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

Aug-15 13:54
  • EUR/USD: $1.1560(E1.1bln), $1.1575(E678mln), $1.1600-05(E606mln), $1.1640-50(E1.2bln), $1.1800(E683mln)
  • USD/JPY: Y147.90-00($544mln)
  • AUD/USD: $0.6475(A$542mln), $0.6500-10(A$689mln)

Historical bullets

SOFR OPTIONS: Update Large Green Mar'26 SOFR Call Spread Buyer

Jul-16 13:52
  • +100,000 2QH6 98.00/98.25 call spds .87 (adds to +50k on Monday for 1.0)

EGBS: Bid Extends

Jul-16 13:49

The squeeze higher in EGBS continues, with a ~1.5K lot block buy in OAT futures underpinning in recent trade.

  • The pullback from UK CPI-driven lows in gilts, feedthrough from U.S. PPI and weakness in crude oil have also factored into the recovery that has been in play since the middle of the London morning.
  • Bund futures have breached their early London high but remain within yesterday’s range.
  • The technical setup in the contract remains bearish, with the 20-day EMA (130.01) providing first resistance.
  • German yields 2.5-3.5bp lower, 20-Year zone outperforms on the curve.
  • EGB spreads to Bunds within 1bp of yesterday’s close, marginal outperformance for BTPs. BTP/Bund spread moves back to ~85bp.

EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (U5) Trading Closer To Its Recent Highs

Jul-16 13:42
  • RES 4: 6402.44 1.382 proj of the May 23 - Jun 11 - 23 price swing
  • RES 3: 6381.00 1.764 proj of the Apr 7 - 10 - 21 price swing 
  • RES 2: 6356.12 1.236 proj of the May 23 - Jun 11 - 23 price swing
  • RES 1: 6343.00 High Jul 15     
  • PRICE: 6295.50 @ 14:32 BST Jul 16  
  • SUP 1: 6246.25 Low Jul 7  
  • SUP 2: 6218.56/6073.00 20- and 50-day EMA values   
  • SUP 3: 5811.50 Low May 23 
  • SUP 4: 5645.75 Low May 7 

S&P E-Minis are trading in a range, closer to their recent highs. The trend condition remains bullish. Recent activity has resulted in a break of resistance at 6128.75, the Jun 11 high. The breach confirmed a resumption of the uptrend that started Apr 7. This was followed by a break of key resistance and a bull trigger at 6277.50, the Feb 21 high. Sights are on 6356.12, a Fibonacci projection. Key support is at the 50-day EMA, at 6073.00.