LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Feb-01 06:18
Date Time Country Event
01-Feb 0815 ES S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Feb 0845 IT S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Feb 0850 FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Feb 0855 DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Feb 0900 EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Feb 1000 EU HICP (p) / Unemployment
01-Feb 1000 IT HICP (p)
01-Feb 1130 EU ECB's Lane remarks at EIEF
02-Feb 0745 FR Industrial Production
05-Feb 0700 DE Trade Balance
05-Feb 1000 EU PPI
06-Feb 0700 DE Manufacturing Orders
06-Feb 0830 EU S&P Global Final Eurozone Construction PMI
06-Feb 0900 IT ISTAT Business/Consumer Confidence
06-Feb 0900 EU ECB Consumer Expectations Survey
06-Feb 1000 EU Retail Sales

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Jan-02 06:18
Date Time Country Event
02-Jan 0815 ES S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
02-Jan 0845 IT S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
02-Jan 0850 FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Jan 0855 DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Jan 0900 EU M3
02-Jan 0900 EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)
03-Jan 0855 DE Unemployment
04-Jan 0630 DE North Rhine Westphalia CPI
04-Jan 0745 FR HICP (p)
04-Jan 0815 ES S&P Global Composite/Service PMI
04-Jan 0845 IT S&P Global Composite/Service PMI
04-Jan 0850 FR S&P Global Composite/Service PMI (f)
04-Jan 0855 DE S&P Global Composite/Service PMI (f)
04-Jan 0900 DE Bavaria / Saxony CPI
04-Jan 0900 EU S&P Global Composite/Service PMI (f)
04-Jan 1300 DE HICP (p)

AUSSIE BONDS: Weak Start To The Year, US Tsy Futures Weigh

Jan-02 04:41

ACGBs (YM -5.0 & XM -6.0) sit weaker, hovering near the lows observed during the Sydney session. In the absence of significant domestic events today, local market participants are relying on US tsy futures as a directional indicator. Notably, US tsy 10-year futures are trading at -0-12+, standing at 112-16, having weakened ahead of the New Year's long weekend.

  • Cash ACGBs are 5-6bps cheaper, with the AU-US 10-year yield differential 3bps wider at +14bps. It is important to note however that cash US tsys have not been trading in today's Asia-Pac session due to a public holiday in Japan.
  • The swaps curve has bear-steepened, with rates 3-6bps higher. EFPs are 1-2bps tighter.
  • The bills strip has bear-steepened, with pricing -3 to -6.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is 1-5bps firmer across meetings, with November leading.
  • Tomorrow, the local calendar sees Judo Bank Composite and Services PMIs.
  • Later today, the US calendar sees S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Dec F) and November Construction Spending. ISM Manufacturing is due on Wednesday.

EQUITIES: Hong Kong, China Markets Unwind Some Late 2023 Gains

Jan-02 04:19

Regional equities are mostly lower in the first trading day for 2024. This follows a negative finish for US markets in Friday trade last week (albeit after a strong rally prior). US futures in trade today have tracked tight ranges with a slight downside bias. Eminis were last around 4820 (close to flat), while Nasdaq futures were down 0.10%.

  • On the downside, the main focus today has been in weakness in Hong Kong and China markets. At the break, the HSI is off 1.45%, while the CSI 300 is down just over 1%.
  • This unwinds some of the strong gains seen towards the end of 2023. It also comes despite a stronger than expected Caixin PMI print today, although on Sunday the official manufacturing PMI slipped further into contractionary territory.
  • Japan markets remain closed until Thursday.
  • South Korea's Kospi is close to flat, while the Kosdaq has risen by 1%. Earlier comments from President Yoon stated that South Korea's stock market is undervalued, while the authorities will also reportedly seek to abolish financial investment income tax. Taiwan's Taiex is off 0.65% at this stage.
  • In SEA, Philippines and Thailand markets are both up around 0.7%. Singapore's Strait Times is down 0.30%, despite a firm Q4 GDP beat.