LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Feb-22 06:18
Date Time Country Event
22-Feb 0700 DE HICP (f)
22-Feb 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
22-Feb 0900 IT HICP (f)

22-Feb 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
22-Feb 0900 DE Destatis Press Conference on Updated CPI Weights
22-Feb 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
23-Feb 1000 EU HICP (f)
24-Feb ---- EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G20 Finance Minister Meet
24-Feb 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate / GDP (f)
24-Feb 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
24-Feb 0800 ESPPI
25-Feb ---- EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G20 Finance Minister Meet
27-Feb 0900 IT ISTAT Consumer Confidence
27-Feb 1000 EU M3 / EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Jan-23 06:18
Date Time Country Event
23-Jan 1430 EU ECB Panetta Intro at ECON Hearing
23-Jan 1500 EU Consumer Confidence Indicator (p)
23-Jan 1745 EU ECB Lagarde Speech at Deutsche Boerse
24-Jan 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate
24-Jan 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
24-Jan 0815 FR S&P Global Services/Manufacturing PMI (p)
24-Jan 0830 DE S&P Global Services/Manufacturing PMI (p)
24-Jan 0900 EU S&P Global Services/Manufacturing PMI (p)
24-Jan 0945 EU ECB Lagarde Video Message at Croatia Conference
25-Jan 0800 ES PPI
25-Jan 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
25-Jan 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
26-Jan 0900 IT ISTAT Business/Consumer Confidence
27-Jan 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
27-Jan 0800 ES GDP (p)
27-Jan 0900 EU M3

US TSYS: Early Richening Holds In Asia

Jan-23 06:06

TYH3 deals at 115-05, +0-03+, off the top of its 0-06+ range on volume of ~45K.

  • Cash Tsys 1-2 bps richer across the major benchmarks, with the belly leading the bid.
  • Tsys were marginally cheaper to start before reversing to deal richer as a bid in JGB futures and a rally in the intermediate zone of the JGB curve spilled over.
  • The richening held through the session, a thin data calendar and limited liquidity due to Lunar NY holiday saw early ranges respected.
  • Note that WSJ Fed watcher Timiraos' latest piece (released after the start of the Fed blackout period) noted that "Federal Reserve officials are preparing to slow interest-rate increases for the second straight meeting and debate how much higher to raise them after gaining more confidence inflation will ease further this year."
  • ECB speak from Lagarde and the U.S. leading index headlines an otherwise thin docket today. Further out, PCE, Jan Preliminary PMIs and Q4 GDP provide the U.S. highlights this week.

EUROSTOXX50 TECHS: (H3) Overbought Trend Condition

Jan-23 06:05
  • RES 4: 4269.50 2.236 proj of the Sep 29 - Oct 4 rise from Dec 20 low
  • RES 3: 4230.50 High Feb 10, 2022 (cont)
  • RES 2: 4215.00 2.00 proj of the Sep 29 - Oct 4 rise from Dec 20 low
  • RES 1: 4206.00 High Jan 18 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 4145.00 @ 05:47 GMT Jan 23
  • SUP 1: 4046.30 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 3931.20 50-day EMA values
  • SUP 3: 3753.00 Low Dec 20 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 4: 3720.00 Low Nov 10

EUROSTOXX 50 futures traded lower last Thursday. The broader trend outlook remains bullish, however, the cycle is overbought and this warns of the potential for a short-term pullback. A move lower would allow the overbought reading to unwind. A resumption of weakness would open 4046.30, the 20-day EMA and a key near-term support. Key short-term resistance and the bull trigger has been defined at 4206.00, the Jan 18 high.