LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 20-Mar | 700 | DE | PPI |
| 20-Mar | 800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde At ECON Hearing |
| 20-Mar | 1000 | EU | Construction Production |
| 20-Mar | 1200 | EU | ECB's Lane At UCC Economics Society's Conference |
| 21-Mar | 745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment |
| 21-Mar | 900 | EU | EZ Current Account |
| 21-Mar | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |
| 24-Mar | 815 | FR | S&P Global Flash PMI |
| 24-Mar | 830 | DE | S&P Global Flash PMI |
| 24-Mar | 900 | EU | S&P Global Flash PMI |
| 25-Mar | 800 | ES | PPI |
| 25-Mar | 900 | DE | IFO Business Climate Index |
| 25-Mar | 1400 | BE | BNB Business Confidence |
| 26-Mar | 745 | FR | Consumer Sentiment |
| 26-Mar | 800 | ES | GDP (f) |
| 26-Mar | 1740 | EU | ECB's Cipollone in panel on Digital Finance |
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BOBL TECHS: (H5) Approaching Trendline Support
- RES 4: 118.258 61.8% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg
- RES 3: 117.980 High Feb 3 / 5 and a reversal trigger
- RES 2: 117.600 High Feb 13 and a key short-term resistance
- RES 1: 117.418 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 117.100 @ 05:55 GMT Feb 18
- SUP 1: 117.048 Trendline drawn from Jan 15 low
- SUP 2: 116.700 Low Jan 30
- SUP 3: 116.550 Low Jan 24
- SUP 4: 116.280 Low Jan 14 / 15 and key support
Bobl futures remain in a short-term corrective cycle and the contract is trading lower once again, today. Price has recently traded through support at the 20-day EMA - at 117.430. The extension lower has exposed a trendline support drawn from the Jan 15 low, at 117.048. Clearance of the trendline would strengthen a bearish threat and open 116.700, the Jan 30 low. Initial firm resistance to watch is 117.600, the Feb 13 high.
EURUSD TECHS: Bull Theme Remains In Play
- RES 4: 1.0630 High Dec 6
- RES 3: 1.0594 Dec 9 ‘24
- RES 2: 1.0533 High Jan 27 and a reversal trigger
- RES 1: 1.0514 High Feb 14
- PRICE: 1.0456 @ 06:05 GMT Feb 18
- SUP 1: 1.0402 20-day EMA
- SUP 2: 1.0280/0141 Low Feb 10 / 3 and the bear trigger
- SUP 3: 1.0138 1.764 proj of the Sep 25 - Oct 23 - Nov 5 price swing
- SUP 4: 1.0031 2.00 proj of the Sep 25 - Oct 23 - Nov 5 price swing
A bull cycle in EURUSD remains intact and the pair is trading closer to its recent highs. Last week’s gains have reinforced current conditions and strengthened a short-term reversal signal on Feb 3 - a hammer. This suggests scope for an extension near-term. The pair has breached the 50-day EMA, at 1.0432, and sights are on 1.0533, the Jan 27 high. Initial firm support lies at 1.0280, the Feb 10 low.
BUND TECHS: (H5) Has Cleared Trendline Support
- RES 4: 134.54 61.8% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg
- RES 3: 133.71 High Feb 5 and a reversal trigger
- RES 2: 132.97 High Feb 13 and a key near-term resistance
- RES 1: 132.59 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 131.73 @ 05:44 GMT Feb 18
- SUP 1: 131.59 61.8% retracement of the Jan 14 - Feb 5 bull leg
- SUP 2: 131.00 Low Jan 24 and a key short-term support
- SUP 3: 130.28 Low Jan 15 and the bear trigger
- SUP 4: 130.11 1.236 proj of the Oct 1 - Nov 6 - Dec 2 ‘24 price swing
Bund futures are trading lower once again, today, as the contract extends the reversal that started Feb 5. Price is through an important short-term support at 132.12, a trendline drawn from the Jan 15 low. The breach strengthens a bearish theme and signals scope for an extension towards 131.59 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Below 131.59, lies 131.00, the Jan 25 low and a key support. Initial firm resistance to watch is 132.97, the Feb 13 high.
