LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 12-Mar | 845 | EU | Lagarde at "ECB and Its Watchers" conference Frankfurt |
| 12-Mar | 1515 | EU | Lane at "ECB and Its Watchers" conference Frankfurt |
| 13-Mar | 950 | EU | ECB de Guindos in fireside chat |
| 13-Mar | 1000 | EU | Industrial Production |
| 14-Mar | 700 | DE | HICP (f) |
| 14-Mar | 745 | FR | HICP (f) |
| 14-Mar | 800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 14-Mar | 900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 14-Mar | 1315 | EU | ECBs Cipollone in panel discussion |
| 17-Mar | 900 | IT | HICP (f) |
| 18-Mar | 1000 | EU | Trade Balance |
| 18-Mar | 1000 | DE | ZEW Expectations/Current Condition Index |
| 19-Mar | 1000 | EU | HICP (f) |
| 19-Mar | 1200 | EU | ECB de Guindos In Madrid |
| 19-Mar | 1300 | EU | ECB Elderson At European Financials Conference |
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BOBL TECHS: (H5) Holding On To Its Recent Gains
- RES 4: 118.310 High Dec 20
- RES 3: 118.27 61.8% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg
- RES 2: 118.100 High Jan 2
- RES 1: 117.980 High Jan 3 / 5
- PRICE: 117.820 @ 05:55 GMT Feb 10
- SUP 1: 117.583 50-day EMA
- SUP 2: 117.373 20-day EMA
- SUP 3: 116.550 Low Jan 24
- SUP 4: 116.280 Low Jan 14 / 15 and a key support
Bobl futures remain in a bull cycle and the contract is holding on to its recent gains. Last week’s climb reinforces current bullish conditions. The contract has traded through both the 20- and 50-day EMAs. A clear breach of 117.880, 50.0% of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg, would signal scope for an extension towards 118.258, the 61.8% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg. Initial support to watch lies at 117.373, the 20-day EMA.
EURUSD TECHS: Potential Reversal Signal
- RES 4: 1.0630 High Dec 6
- RES 3: 1.0594 Dec 9 ‘24
- RES 2: 1.0533 High Jan 27 and a reversal trigger
- RES 1: 1.0435/42 50-day EMA / High Feb 5
- PRICE: 1.0316 @ 06:09 GMT Feb 10
- SUP 1: 1.0272/0141 Low Feb 4 / 3 and the bear trigger.,
- SUP 2: 1.0138 1.764 proj of the Sep 25 - Oct 23 - Nov 5 price swing
- SUP 3: 1.0031 2.00 proj of the Sep 25 - Oct 23 - Nov 5 price swing
- SUP 4: 0.9947 76.4% of the Sep 28 ‘22 - Jul 18 ’23 bull leg
EURUSD continues to trade below last week’s highs. Attention is on a bullish candle formation on Feb 3 - a hammer - that signals a possible reversal. However, additional reinforcing price evidence is required to signal a turn in the trend. MA studies in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. 1.0435, the 50-day EMA, marks a key resistance. A clear break of it would be a bullish development. The bear trigger is 1.0141, the Feb 3 low.
BUND TECHS: (H5) Bull Phase Remains In Play
- RES 4: 134.94 High Dec 17
- RES 3: 134.54 61.8% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg
- RES 2: 134.29 High Dec 20
- RES 1: 133.73 50.0% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg
- PRICE: 133.34 @ 05:38 GMT Feb 10
- SUP 1: 132.53 20-day EMA
- SUP 2: 131.00 Low Jan 16 / 24
- SUP 3: 131.00/130.28 Low Jan 16 / Low Jan 15 and the bear trigger
- SUP 4: 130.44 Low Jul 5 ‘24 (cont)
Bund futures remain in a bull cycle and the contract is holding on to its latest gains. The recent pause appears to be a flag formation - a bullish continuation signal. Price has recently cleared both the 20- and 50-day EMAs. The break higher confirms a resumption of the corrective bull cycle that started Jan 14. Sights are on 133.73, a Fibonacci retracement point. Firm short-term support has been defined at 131.00, the Jan 16 / 24 low.
