LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
Jul-18 05:18
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 18-Jul | 1000 | EU | Construction Production |
| 18-Jul | 1315 | EU | ECB Governing Council Meeting |
| 18-Jul | 1345 | EU | ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference |
| 18-Jul | 1515 | EU | Lagarde presents MonPol decision on podcast |
| 19-Jul | 700 | DE | PPI |
| 19-Jul | 900 | EU | EZ Current Account |
| 23-Jul | 800 | EU | ECB's Lane at ECB/IMF conference in Frankfurt |
| 23-Jul | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |
| 24-Jul | 700 | DE | GFK Consumer Climate |
| 24-Jul | 745 | EU | ECB's de Guindos at ECB/IMF conference |
| 24-Jul | 800 | ES | PPI |
| 24-Jul | 815 | FR | S&P Global Flash PMI (p) |
| 24-Jul | 830 | DE | S&P Global Flash PMI (p) |
| 24-Jul | 900 | EU | S&P Global Flash PMI (p) |
| 24-Jul | 1300 | EU | ECB's Lane at ECB/IMF conference |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
Jun-18 05:18
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 18-Jun | 1000 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions & Expectations Index |
| 18-Jun | 1000 | EU | HICP (f) |
| 18-Jun | 1300 | EU | ECB's Cipollone chairing session on market supervision |
| 18-Jun | 1430 | EU | ECB's De Guindos at EC and ECB joint conference |
| 19-Jun | 900 | EU | Current Account |
| 19-Jun | 1000 | EU | Construction Production |
| 20-Jun | 700 | DE | PPI |
| 20-Jun | 800 | EU | ECB's Lagarde and Cipollone in Eurogroup meeting |
| 20-Jun | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |
| 21-Jun | 745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment |
| 21-Jun | 800 | EU | ECB's De Guindos participates in ECONFIN meeting |
| 21-Jun | 815 | FR | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
| 21-Jun | 830 | DE | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
| 21-Jun | 900 | EU | S&P Global Services/ Manufacturing/Composite PMI (p) |
| 23-Jun | 1420 | EU | ECB's Schnabel on the Weltwirtschaftlicher Preis |
| 24-Jun | 900 | DE | IFO Business Climate Index |
| 24-Jun | 1400 | BE | BNB Business Sentiment |
| 24-Jun | 1630 | EU | ECB's Schnabel in panel on 'Investing in Sovereignty" |
| 25-Jun | 800 | ES | GDP (f) / PPI |
GBPUSD TECHS: Testing Support
Jun-18 05:15
- RES 4: 1.2947 1.50 proj of the Apr 22 - May 3 - 9 price swing
- RES 3: 1.2908 1.382 proj of the Apr 22 - May 3 - 9 price swing
- RES 2: 1.2894 High Mar 8 and a key resistance
- RES 1: 1.2764/2860 High Jun 14 / 12
- PRICE: 1.2695 @ 06:14 BST Jun 18
- SUP 1: 1.2657 Low Jun 14
- SUP 2: 1.2584 Low May 15
- SUP 3: 1.2510 Low May 14
- SUP 4: 1.2446 Low May 9 and a key near-term support
The GBPUSD trend condition remains bullish, however, last week’s sell-off is a concern for bulls. Price is trading just above recent lows and attention is on key short-term support at 1.2671, the 50-day EMA. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would undermine the bullish theme and signal scope for a deeper correction, opening 1.2584 initially, the May 15 low. For bulls, a reversal higher and a break of 1.2860, the Jun 12 high, resumes the uptrend.
US TSYS: Tsys Futures Little Changed, Ranges Tight Ahead Of Fed Speakers
Jun-18 05:14
- Treasury futures are little changed today, ranges have been very tight with TUU4 -0-00⅛ at 102-04+, while TYU4 is +0-00+ at 110-13+.
- Volumes: TU 29k, FV 36k, TY 80k
- Cash treasury curve is little changed, yields are about 1bps lower across the curve. The 2Y -1.1bps to 4.754%, 7Y -1.1bps to 4.68%, with the 10Y -1.2bps at 4.269%.
- APAC Markets: ACGB yields are 3-4bps higher, NZGB yields are flat to 1.5bps higher, while JGBs are flat to 5bps higher, with better selling seen in the long end.
- Short end selling sees rate cut projections cooling vs. late Friday levels (*): July'24 at -10% w/ cumulative at -2.5bp at 5.302%, Sep'24 cumulative -17.5bp (20bp), Nov'24 cumulative -26.6bp (-29.9bp), Dec'24 -46.1bp (-50.5bp).
- Looking ahead, Retail Sales, IP/Cap-U and TIC Flows, Several Fed speakers on tap as well.
