LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
Jun-06 05:18
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 06-Jun | 700 | DE | Manufacturing Orders |
| 06-Jun | 800 | ES | Industrial Production |
| 06-Jun | 830 | EU | S&P Global Final Eurozone Construction PMI |
| 06-Jun | 1000 | EU | Retail Sales |
| 06-Jun | 1000 | IT | Retail Sales |
| 06-Jun | 1315 | EU | ECB Deposit/ Main Refi/ Lending Rate |
| 06-Jun | 1345 | EU | ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference |
| 06-Jun | 315 | EU | ECB's Lagarde presents monpol decision on podcast |
| 07-Jun | 700 | DE | Trade Balance/ IP |
| 07-Jun | 745 | FR | Foreign Trade |
| 07-Jun | 900 | EU | ECB's Schnabel at the Federal Ministry of Finance |
| 07-Jun | 1000 | EU | GDP (final)/ Employment |
| 07-Jun | 315 | EU | ECB's Lagarde in Atelier Maurice Allais |
| 10-Jun | 900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 12-Jun | 700 | DE | HICP (f) |
| 13-Jun | 800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 13-Jun | 1000 | EU | Industrial Production |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
May-07 05:18
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 07-May | 700 | DE | Manufacturing Orders/ Trade Balance |
| 07-May | 745 | FR | Foreign Trade |
| 07-May | 830 | EU | S&P Global Final Eurozone Construction PMI |
| 07-May | 1000 | EU | Retail Sales |
| 08-May | 700 | DE | Industrial Production |
| 08-May | 800 | ES | Industrial Production |
| 08-May | 900 | IT | Retail Sales |
| 09-May | 1315 | EU | ECB's De Guindos remarks at Panel Civico |
| 09-May | 1315 | EU | ECB's Cipollone on financial instrument tokenisation |
| 10-May | 800 | EU | ECB's Cipollone presentation on digital euro |
| 10-May | 900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 10-May | 945 | EU | ECB's Elderson in roundtable at ASVIS/ECCO |
| 13-May | 800 | EU | ECB's Cipollone in Eurogroup meeting |
| 14-May | 700 | DE | HICP (f) |
| 14-May | 800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 14-May | 800 | EU | ECB's De Guindos participates in ECOFIN meeting |
| 14-May | 1000 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions/Expectations Index |
| 14-May | 1415 | EU | ECB's Schnabel speech at scientific conference |
EURGBP TECHS: Bearish Threat Still Present Despite S/T Gains
May-07 05:15
- RES 4: 0.8704 76.4% retracement of the Nov 20 - Feb 14 bear cycle
- RES 3: 0.8683 High Jan 2
- RES 2: 0.8665 61.8% retracement of the Nov 20 - Feb 14 bear cycle
- RES 1: 0.8601/45 61.8% of the Apr 23 - 30 bear leg / High Apr 23
- PRICE: 0.8577 @ 06:12 BST May 7
- SUP 1: 0.8547/31 Low May 2 / Low Apr 30
- SUP 2: 0.8521/8504 Low Apr 17 / Low Mar 8
- SUP 3: 0.8498/93 Low Feb 14 / Low Aug 23 2023 and key support
- SUP 4: 0.8454 76.4% of the Mar 7 - Sep 26 ‘23 bull phase
A bear threat in EURGBP remains present despite recent gains - a correction. A resumption of weakness would refocus attention on support at 0.8521, the Apr 17 low. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish theme and signal scope for a move towards the key support at 0.8498/93, the Feb 14 low and Aug 23 2023 low. Key resistance has been defined at 0.8645, the Apr 23 high. First resistance to watch is 0.8601, a Fibonacci retracement.
US TSYS: Treasury Futures Edge Higher Post RBA
May-07 05:12
- Treasury futures have ticked higher post the RBA keeping rates on hold, although we still remain inside Mondays ranges. The 10Y is trading up + 02+ from NY closing levels at 108-31, and just below Mondays highs of 109-01+.
- Earlier we saw a Block flattener trade sell the 5Y buy the 30Y, while there were also a couple of TU-FV-UXY Flys going across the screen.
- The cash treasury curve is little changed today, yields are 1-2bps lower, We currently trade near sessions best levels after initially opening 0.5bps higher across the curve. The 2Y yield is now -1.7bps at 4.814%, while the 10Y yield is -1.8bps at 4.481%.
- Across local rate markets: ACGBs curve is slightly steeper yields are 6-7bps lower, NZGB curve has pivoted at the 7yr, yields are 2-6bps lower while JGBs continue to see better buying in the belly of the curve with yields 1bp higher to 2.5bps lower.
- Looking Ahead: Little on the data calendar for the week, focus will turn to Fed speakers with MN Fed Kashkari at 1130ET.
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