LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

May-24 05:18
Date Time Country Event
24-May 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
24-May 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
24-May 1845 EU ECB Lagarde Opens Anniversary of ECB Event
25-May 0700 DE GDP (f) / GfK Consumer Climate
25-May 0745 FR Manufacturing Sentiment
25-May 0800 ES PPI
25-May 1000 EU ECB de Guindos Presents ECB Annual Report 2022
26-May 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
26-May 0840 EU ECB Lane Panels Dubrovnik Econ Conference
26-May 0900 IT ISTAT Business / Consumer Confidence
30-May 0800 ES HICP (p)
30-May 0900 EU M3
30-May 0900 IT PPI
30-May 1000 EU EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Apr-24 05:18
Date Time Country Event
24-Apr 0900 DE IFO Business Climate Index
24-Apr 1000 EU ECB Panetta Panels Event by Bruegel Think Tank
24-Apr 1400 BE BNB Business Sentiment
24-Apr 1430 EU ECB Panetta Into at ECON Hearing on Digital Euro
25-Apr 0800 ES PPI
25-Apr 0900 EU ECB Supervisory Board Chair Andrea Enria and MNI event
26-Apr 0700 DE GFK Consumer Climate
26-Apr 0745 FR Consumer Sentiment
26-Apr 1300 EU ECB de Guindos Panels Delphi Economic Forum
27-Apr 0900 IT ISTAT Business / Consumer Confidence
27-Apr 1000 EU EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator
27-Apr 1715 EU ECB Panetta at EACB Board Meeting

EUROSTOXX50 TECHS: (M3) Trading Closer To Its Recent Highs

Apr-24 05:14
  • RES 4: 4520.00 High June 2001 (cont)
  • RES 3: 4403.50 High Nov 18 2021 (cont) and a major resistance
  • RES 2: 4381.50 High Jan 5 2022 (cont)
  • RES 1: 4363.00 High Apr 21
  • PRICE: 4348.00 @ 05:55 BST Apr 23
  • SUP 1: 4309.00 Low Apr 17
  • SUP 2: 4266.00 20-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 4190.70 50-day EMA
  • SUP 4: 4095.00 Low Mar 28

The Eurostoxx 50 futures uptrend remains intact and the contract is trading closer to its recent highs. The recent extension higher has reinforced the bullish significance of the break of 4268.00, Mar 6 high and a former key resistance. The move confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on 4381.50, Jan 5 2022 high (cont). Initial firm support lies at 4266.00, the 20-day EMA.

US TSYS: A Touch Firmer As Chinese & HK Equities Struggle

Apr-24 05:10

Tsys have firmed at the margins in Asia-Pac hours, with TYM3 last +0-03 at 114-18, at the top of its narrow 0-03+ range, on light volume of ~41K. Cash Tsys run 1-2bp richer across the curve, with the intermediate zone outperforming.

  • Tsys looked to weakness in Chinese & HK equities (centred on continued worry re: U.S. actions against the tech sector) and BoJ governor Ueda pointing to no imminent change in the Bank’s YCC settings for support.
  • E-minis are lower in sympathy with Chinese tech equities, shedding 0.3-0.4%.
  • Hawkish rhetoric from ECB’s Wunsch did little to impact the space, given his historical leaning and recent run of such comments.
  • A quick reminder that the Fed is now in its pre-FOMC blackout period. Governor Cook offered the final round of Fedspeak ahead of the weekend, but was non-committal re: the May meeting, going over well-trodden areas of debate (banking stress, credit tightening, broad-based inflation and a resilient economy), pointing to a bumpy road when it comes to bringing inflation back down to target.
  • Sellers of FVM3 108.00 puts provided the highlight on the flow side overnight, but those particular screen-based flows were comfortably under 10K on the volume side.
  • The latest Ifo survey out of Germany and several rounds of ECB speak headline the European docket today. Meanwhile, activity indicators from the Chicago & Dallas Feds provide the highlight of the U.S. data slate.