POWER: EU End of Day Power Summary: German, French Power Diverge, Nordics Fall

May-07 15:22

German front-month power futures are rangebound with gains in EUAs and slightly lower gas prices, while French front-month power futures are on track to settle down on the day for the fourth consecutive session. Nordic front-month power settled slightly lower on the day after rising to the highest since 31 March in Tuesday’s session. 

  • Nordic Base Power JUN 25 down 1.6% at 25 EUR/MWh
  • France Base Power JUN 25 down 7.5% at 23.54 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power JUN 25 up 0.6% at 74.5 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 25 up 2.7% at 71.17 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas JUN 25 down 0.8% at 34.45 EUR/MWh
  • TTF has edged lower as rising feedgas to US LNG export terminals today offset some supply risks amidst Norwegian maintenance.
  • EUAs Dec25 are rising and returning to the €70 level for the first time since late April, tracking EU gas upticks in the morning, while carbon held steadily in the afternoon despite gas erasing gains.
  • Investment Funds positioning in ICE German power futures reduced their net short positioning to the lowest since 27 December 2024.
  • EEX European power markets in April achieved 825.87TWh in traded volumes, marking a 14% year-on-year increase, driven by significant gains in Italian, UK and CSEE volumes.
  • The planned maintenance at the 500MW East-West Interconnector cable between Ireland and Great Britain has been extended by one week until 9 May.
  • Italian hydropower reserves last week increased for the fifth consecutive week by 0.1TWh to 2.4TWh, while retaining a surplus to the five-year average.
  • Spanish hydropower reserves last week increased by 0.6 percentage points to 77% of capacity, marking the tenth consecutive increase and a new 2025 high.
  • Portugal will resume importing electricity from Spain at a reduced capacity of 1 GW—down from the pre-blackout level of 2.7 GW—as REN cautiously reinstates cross-border flows following the blackout
  • Construction of the 1.2GW EDU II nuclear project in the Czech Republic will be delayed by “several months” after a court temporarily blocked the signing of a reactor contract.
  • Litgrid is deploying a new technology that could allow for an average increase of 52% of transmission capacity, enabling greater integration of renewables.
  • Croatia and the US have discussed a potential cooperation in the development of nuclear energy in Croatia with particular focus on SMRs.
  • Greece faces a growing challenge in balancing its expanding renewable energy with grid stability, as solar and wind output often exceeds demand, increasing blackout risks.

Historical bullets

US TSYS: Latest Tariff React - Risk-Off

Apr-07 15:21
  • Still weaker, Tsys pare losses after latest from Pres Trump threatens China with additional 50% tariff after China responed late last week with 34% duty in turn.
  • Tsy 10Y futures blipped to 112-25 from 112-04, 10Y yield slipped to 4.0619% now 4.0941%. Curves remain steeper, s2s10s +8.464 at 42.083.
  • Stocks reacted negatively to the latest, SPX eminis at 5044.0 (-67.0).

 

FED: US TSY 26W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.542 BLN FROM $68.000 BLN TOTAL

Apr-07 15:15
  • US TSY 26W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $1.542 BLN FROM $68.000 BLN TOTAL

FED: US TSY 13W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.137 BLN FROM $76.000 BLN TOTAL

Apr-07 15:15
  • US TSY 13W AUCTION: NON-COMP BIDS $2.137 BLN FROM $76.000 BLN TOTAL